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Panthers at Blues
NHL

Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues

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Florida Panthers
2
St. Louis Blues
▸6
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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Florida Panthers 6-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 0:35 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.0 to 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 36, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.5 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (2 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (34 saves, .944), 3. Ivan Barbashev (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    STL
    I. Barbashev1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0919118236
STLSTL1721338628

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(14)PPG
    T. Krug (17), R. Thomas (32)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    11:27

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(15)
    J. Kyrou (27)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:35
  2. STL
    N. Leddy(2)
    I. Barbashev (16)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    12:51
  3. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(13)
    M. Tkachuk (47), C. Verhaeghe (20)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:44

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(12)
    P. Buchnevich (27), I. Barbashev (17)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:28
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(24)
    R. Thomas (33)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    9:48
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(29)
    M. Tkachuk (48), B. Montour (35)
    wristxG 0.02
    2-5
    13:28
  4. STL
    I. Barbashev(10)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.62
    2-6
    17:12

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:25FLAGivani Smith · High stickingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 8:21STLTyler Tucker · Trippingdrawn by Grigori Denisenko2 min
  • 10:35FLAGustav Forsling · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 13:38STLRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalFLA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 2nd 0:35 — STL 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.62P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.47C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.42J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.19I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.17S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.15A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.14N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.08S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06N. Leddy · Goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.04S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.03C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 4.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsSTL
3.02 G
All situations
5 G4.0
2.42 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA59%41%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsSTL
36
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
22
6
Giveaways
8
12
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD011-130.11100—24:14
5A. EkbladD000-230.07010—23:05
42G. ForslingD000-230.20202—22:10
13S. ReinhartC000-230.480004021:02
19M. TkachukL022-130.22100—20:19
16A. BarkovC000020.181007519:17
23C. VerhaegheC112-140.15000018:31
18M. StaalD000-200.00210—17:19
7R. GudasD000+130.04130—17:10
15A. LundellC000-230.070006716:50
12E. StaalC000-230.440002015:29
27E. LuostarinenC101+130.500106315:07
28J. MahuraD000+110.12000—15:05
94R. LombergL000-100.07010—12:20
14G. DenisenkoL000-110.18200—11:03
21N. CousinsC000010.14010011:03
54G. SmithR000000.00212—10:15
9S. BennettC000-200.061005609:15
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)27225.8152.48-2.5257:34

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).