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Blues at Panthers
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Florida Panthers
4
Final/OTTV BSFL, BSMW·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Florida Panthers 5-4 in overtime, Jordan Kyrou scoring at 1:08. The Blues came back from three goals down. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 1:08 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 37, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.6 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (2 G), 2. Radko Gudas (1 G), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    R. Gudas1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL1110631911537
FLAFLA3171160400437

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(4)
    E. Luostarinen (5), G. Forsling (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:20
  2. FLA
    R. Gudas(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    2:58
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(12)
    S. Reinhart (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    8:47
  4. STL
    B. Saad(4)
    J. Leivo (5), R. O'Reilly (4)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    11:39

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(3)SHG
    S. Reinhart (6), G. Forsling (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    1-4
    12:50

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(6)
    C. Rosen (3), B. Saad (1)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    8:16
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(8)
    T. Krug (5), J. Faulk (11)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    3-4
    13:43
  3. STL
    V. Tarasenko(5)
    I. Barbashev (7), P. Buchnevich (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +40 pts
    4-4
    16:11

Overtime

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(9)
    T. Krug (6), V. Tarasenko (10)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:08

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·FLA 15 PIM

1st

  • 12:57STLPavel Buchnevich · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:44FLASam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 5:33STLTorey Krug · Fightingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist5 min
  • 5:33FLAPatric Hornqvist · Fightingdrawn by Torey Krug5 min
  • 7:12FLAMarc Staal · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 10:50FLARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

3rd

  • 3:02FLAAnton Lundell · Slashingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 6:01STLRobert Bortuzzo · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 6:01FLACarter Verhaeghe · Embellishmentdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 8:22STLColton Parayko · Interferencedrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalSTL goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, OT 1:08 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.25P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.12N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.12E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.10R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05C. White · On goal · xG 0.05E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03C. White · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsFLA
2.75 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.35 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL55%45%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsFLA
37
Shots on goal
37
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
15
21
Hits
17
7
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
24

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011030.08000—24:37
90R. O'ReillyC112+170.540005922:42
55C. ParaykoD000020.02402—22:40
89P. BuchnevichL011040.31102—20:41
91V. TarasenkoR112040.33110—19:56
4N. LeddyD000+100.00100—18:29
20B. SaadL112040.65110—18:06
49I. BarbashevL011-100.002005016:56
25J. KyrouR202+150.41010—16:52
18R. ThomasC000000.010006415:42
52N. AcciariC000+110.044105715:38
47T. KrugD022-120.03125—15:04
17J. LeivoL011+130.16100—13:58
77N. MikkolaD000+100.00300—13:10
10B. SchennC000-210.050005013:06
43C. RosenD011+200.03000—10:56
26N. WalkerL000010.04010—09:46
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.00202—09:05
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)37334.8922.44-1.5661:08

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).