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Avalanche at Penguins
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸2
Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, ALT2·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1 in overtime, Kris Letang scoring at 3:36. The Avalanche scored first; the Penguins answered. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 3:36 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 3.6; shots on goal were COL 42, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G), 2. Casey DeSmith (41 saves, .976), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith41 saves, .976
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL01311601003142
PITPIT0601011814238

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(14)
    B. Byram (4), S. Girard (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    10:21

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(12)
    E. Malkin (32), J. Zucker (18)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +42 pts
    1-1
    16:22

Overtime

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(5)
    S. Crosby (37), E. Malkin (33)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    3:36

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

2nd

  • 9:11COLArtturi Lehkonen · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 10:09PITJake Guentzel · Hookingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
  • 14:05PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

3rd

  • 9:45PITBryan Rust · Hookingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min

OT

  • 1:21PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCOL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, OT 3:36 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.30K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.30E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.23J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.22J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.10B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.10K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 3.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsPIT
3.91 G
All situations
2 G3.6
2.91 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL55%45%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.82 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsPIT
42
Shots on goal
38
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
38
24
Blocked shots
15
2
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
96M. RantanenR000-150.750105726:34
29N. MacKinnonC101081.031304326:03
7D. ToewsD000-110.03240—26:01
8C. MakarD000-220.09110—24:21
37J. CompherL000-110.100204722:44
49S. GirardD011+130.10110—22:34
13V. NichushkinR000-130.24100—22:03
4B. ByramD011+110.07330—21:29
9E. RodriguesC000-160.43200019:50
18A. NewhookC000000.002206716:18
62A. LehkonenL000000.00212—16:11
6E. JohnsonD000030.07220—13:33
25L. O'ConnorR000020.31110—13:10
83M. NietoL000020.20020—10:55
11A. CoglianoC000020.1511010009:28
17B. HuntD000010.00000—08:35
81D. MalginC000020.27200007:11
56K. MacDermidL000000.00000—04:12
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(O)38362.9473.60+1.6063:27

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).