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Penguins at Avalanche
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 11:35 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 16% to 33%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.5 to 3.4; shots on goal were PIT 45, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 40 of 44 (.909), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Carter (2 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Compher (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Carter2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Compher1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT09321215545
COLCOL01119110230

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(30)
    J. Guentzel (33), P. Joseph (15)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:11
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(31)PPG
    E. Malkin (50)
    batxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    4:06
  3. COL
    J. Compher(15)
    V. Nichushkin (25)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    11:35
  4. PIT
    J. Carter(10)PPG
    B. Rust (24), J. Zucker (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    14:12

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(6)PPG
    J. Compher (32), N. MacKinnon (60)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    10:28
  2. PIT
    J. Carter(11)
    B. Dumoulin (18), D. O'Connor (4)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    12:51
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(16)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.35
    5-2
    19:41

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 18:16PITBryan Rust · Hookingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

2nd

  • 2:50COLKurtis MacDermid · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 3:39COLAndrew Cogliano · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 12:57COLLogan O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 15:13PITSidney Crosby · Roughingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 15:13COLDarren Helm · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 15:13COLDarren Helm · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 19:08PITChad Ruhwedel · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 9:12PITJosh Archibald · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalPIT goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 11:35 — COL 16% → 33%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.20D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.16L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.15J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.15J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.15L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.14A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.14D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.10D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01
COL2 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsCOL
4.54 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.62 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT50%50%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsCOL
45
Shots on goal
30
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
17
11
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000+130.15120—29:03
73P. JosephD011000.02110—21:23
8B. DumoulinD011+240.03010—20:55
87S. CrosbyC101+150.220126519:50
17B. RustR112+130.63102—19:43
59J. GuentzelC112+140.62010019:11
2C. RuhwedelD000+100.01022—18:53
64M. GranlundC000040.39020015:28
71E. MalkinC011020.370002715:01
67R. RakellR000000.1700010014:44
77J. CarterC202+150.320006014:41
25R. PoehlingC000000.000107414:30
16J. ZuckerL011050.32310—14:00
52M. FriedmanD000020.06200—12:41
10D. O'ConnorL011+150.27020—12:16
4T. FedunD000010.03010—11:41
43D. HeinenL000010.14010—10:53
15J. ArchibaldR000+110.00412—10:38
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)30282.9333.35+1.3559:13

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).