Skip to content
Capitals at Maple Leafs
NHL

Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
FinalTV NBCSWA, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Capitals scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Rielly's goal at 7:00 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were WSH 24, TOR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.5 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Tavares (2 A), 2. Morgan Rielly (1 G), 3. Ilya Samsonov (23 saves, .958).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    I. Samsonov23 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1701205124
TORTOR01041314527

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(1)PPG
    M. Johansson (13), C. Sheary (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    17:17

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Bunting(15)PPG
    J. Tavares (29), M. Marner (41)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    1:29
  2. TOR
    M. Rielly(1)
    M. Bunting (20), J. Tavares (30)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    7:00
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(28)
    C. Jarnkrok (13), R. Sandin (13)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    10:45
  4. TOR
    P. Engvall(10)
    T. Brodie (7), D. Kampf (12)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    14:20

3rd period

  1. TOR
    Z. Aston-Reese(5)
    P. Holmberg (8), M. Giordano (15)
    backhandxG 0.05
    1-5
    16:47

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·TOR 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:01TORMark Giordano · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 12:01WSHLars Eller · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ilya Samsonov2 min
  • 16:15TORAlexander Kerfoot · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

2nd

  • 0:41WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Holdingdrawn by Timothy Liljegren2 min
  • 1:45TORJustin Holl · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 17:31TORRasmus Sandin · High stickingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

3rd

  • 6:37WSHErik Gustafsson · Hookingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 17:12TORWayne Simmonds · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalWSH goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Rielly, 2nd 7:00 — TOR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.25P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.18W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.16C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.12J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.11M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.08C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.08P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.06P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.05D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsTOR
1.81 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.10 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH33%67%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsTOR
24
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
40
Hits
28
8
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD000-100.01400—24:44
8A. OvechkinL000-260.48400—22:10
3N. JensenD000-100.03200—19:57
42M. FehérváryD000-200.04600—19:57
56E. GustafssonD000-320.13302—18:47
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.02140—18:42
77T. OshieR000-130.14300—16:44
20L. EllerC000020.081125316:19
17D. StromeC000-110.180104316:15
92E. KuznetsovC000-110.010005015:43
90M. JohanssonL011-200.14000—15:26
73C. ShearyL011-210.19000—15:19
19N. BackstromC101-220.082006014:11
96N. Aube-KubelR000020.0820210013:49
39A. ManthaR000-100.00300—12:46
21G. HathawayR000010.09420—12:42
15S. MilanoL000000.07100—11:11
52M. IrwinD000020.04400—10:48
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)20164.8001.55-2.4534:02
79C. Lindgren761.8571.17+0.1725:40

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).