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New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers

FinalFLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Panthers scored first; the Devils answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 10:10 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals were close — NJD 4.1, FLA 4.1; shots on goal were NJD 33, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Jesper Bratt (2 G), 2. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G), 3. Yegor Sharangovich (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Bratt2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    Y. Sharangovich1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD18015310433
FLAFLA112114010236

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.47win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:45
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt(11)PPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:01

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    16:12

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:44
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +33 pts
    3-2
    10:10
  3. NJD
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:20

Penalties

NJD 17 PIM·FLA 41 PIM

1st

  • 6:56FLAAnton Lundell · High stickingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 6:56NJDErik Haula · Fightingdrawn by Anton Lundell5 min
  • 6:56FLAAnton Lundell · Fightingdrawn by Erik Haula5 min

2nd

  • 7:01FLAAaron Ekblad · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 14:16NJDKevin Bahl · Interferencedrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

3rd

  • 19:20FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 19:20FLAAaron Ekblad · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:20NJDDamon Severson · Misconductdrawn by Brandon Montour10 min
  • 19:20FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Misconductdrawn by Nico Hischier10 min
  • 19:20FLABrandon Montour · Misconductdrawn by Damon Severson10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNJD goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 3rd 10:10 — NJD 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.47A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.26A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.21S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.13N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11G. Denisenko · On goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.10E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.10E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA2 G · 4.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsFLA
4.13 G
All situations
2 G4.1
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G3.0
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD30%70%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsFLA
33
Shots on goal
36
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
1/1
17
Penalty minutes
41
16
Hits
18
27
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000+220.051510—28:24
7D. HamiltonD022040.09030—24:44
71J. SiegenthalerD011+110.03010—24:15
86J. HughesC011+140.810002524:06
2B. SmithD000020.20470—23:01
63J. BrattL202+150.34110—22:45
49F. ZetterlundL000020.27200—20:57
13N. HischierC000+120.270305018:49
56E. HaulaL000+110.251255517:42
90T. TatarL101+131.17000—17:17
88K. BahlD000+100.12432—16:30
44M. WoodL000010.16020—12:39
70J. BoqvistC000-130.13000012:13
20M. McLeodC011000.002005711:17
17Y. SharangovichC101+210.07000010:00
91D. MercerC000010.121006708:45
11A. JohnssonL000010.00000—03:37
33R. GravesD000000.00000—01:03
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(W)36342.9444.06+2.0660:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).