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Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 19:20 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were FLA 29, NJD 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Akira Schmid stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (2 G), 2. Erik Haula (1 G, 1 A), 3. Aaron Ekblad (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    E. Haula1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11226111429
NJDNJD01217113232

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    8:54

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:49
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes (20), E. Haula (12)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    11:27
  3. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    19:20

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    3-2
    16:30
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.68win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:49

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:38NJDBrendan Smith · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

2nd

  • 2:01FLAEric Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 11:27FLAserved by A. Heponiemi · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 12:39FLAGustav Forsling · Holdingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 12:39NJDBrendan Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 12:39FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 14:08NJDDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Eric Staal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalFLA goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 19:20 — FLA 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.18Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.16F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.16E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.16F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.15M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.14J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.11D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.10M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.04J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.03R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.03M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNJD
3.03 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA47%53%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
12
20
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD022020.03120—25:57
42G. ForslingD101+240.10132—25:50
62B. MontourD011-110.05350—25:15
18M. StaalD000000.00120—20:55
13S. ReinhartC202+120.362105020:27
9S. BennettC000+140.393004819:45
27E. LuostarinenC011+140.324107119:21
19M. TkachukL000+100.00210—19:03
94R. LombergL000-140.23512—17:31
12E. StaalC000-220.391126016:57
23C. VerhaegheC101+230.80110015:59
28J. MahuraD000000.00110—14:36
21N. CousinsC000-220.1900010013:02
14G. DenisenkoL011+100.06300—11:17
22Z. DalpeC011+110.120005009:07
20A. HeponiemiC011000.00000006:56
3M. KierstedD000+100.00110—06:09
16A. BarkovC011000.000004305:49
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)32302.9382.48+0.4860:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).