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Devils at Panthers
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
2
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV BSFLX, MSGSN·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Panthers came back from two goals down. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 8:44 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 35, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G), 2. Sam Reinhart (2 G), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD011212012235
FLAFLA016014411441

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(29)SHG
    J. Marino (9), R. Graves (16)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    2:16
  2. NJD
    J. Boqvist(8)
    D. Severson (20)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:43

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(18)
    M. Staal (9), B. Montour (45)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    6:14
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(25)PPG
    B. Montour (46), C. Verhaeghe (26)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    7:54
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(32)
    C. Verhaeghe (27), R. Gudas (11)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    8:44
  4. FLA
    S. Reinhart(26)EN
    A. Barkov (42)
    wristxG 0.74win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:39

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:34FLACarter Verhaeghe · Holdingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min

2nd

  • 1:39NJDBrendan Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 7:52FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 14:08NJDDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 18:45NJDserved by T. Tatar · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 7:48NJDDamon Severson · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNJD goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 8:44 — FLA 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.74E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.31A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.19M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.18A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.17C. White · Missed · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.14C. White · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.11G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA4 G · 4.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsFLA
2.12 G
All situations
3 G4.3
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD25%75%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 3.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsFLA
35
Shots on goal
41
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
39
16
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
2
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD000-150.17022—24:28
28D. SeversonD011020.03142—20:38
33R. GravesD011010.01030—19:54
13N. HischierC101040.211005519:42
86J. HughesC000-140.250001419:25
91D. MercerC000030.15010018:13
6J. MarinoD011000.02210—18:02
96T. MeierR000-250.37310—17:49
71J. SiegenthalerD000-100.01200—17:01
56E. HaulaL000-130.140003116:45
63J. BrattL000030.24000—16:00
18O. PalatL000-100.00200—15:03
2B. SmithD000+110.06222—14:39
90T. TatarL000000.000005013:21
70J. BoqvistC101-110.06120012:37
17Y. SharangovichC000+120.35000012:23
20M. McLeodC000-100.001008910:45
42C. LazarC000010.0250010008:58
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(L)40373.9253.61+0.6158:11

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).