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Blue Jackets at Panthers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers

FinalFLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 3:47 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were CBJ 22, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.5 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0100903022
FLAFLA1112916426

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:04

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:47
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:16

3rd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47
    0-4
    18:14

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:53CBJErik Gudbranson · Hookingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

2nd

  • 5:38FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jake Christiansen2 min
  • 8:15FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Holdingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min
  • 10:37CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 7:50FLABrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Kent Johnson2 min
  • 11:28CBJSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Matt Kiersted2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCBJ goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 2nd 3:47 — FLA 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.51S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.47E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.20S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.17A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.16E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.09G. Denisenko · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Dalpe · Missed · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kiersted · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.00M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsFLA
2.30 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.00 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ46%54%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsFLA
22
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4V. GavrikovD000-120.15012—23:45
47M. BjorkD000-210.03140—20:30
2A. PeekeD000010.17320—20:20
29P. LaineL000-140.27100—20:13
38B. JennerC000-310.100006119:37
14G. NyquistR000-330.50110—19:02
96J. RoslovicC000-110.102102918:50
13J. GaudreauL000-330.17100—18:46
44E. GudbransonD000-320.15322—18:39
75T. BerniD000-100.00200—17:35
59E. ChinakhovR000020.39000—16:11
91K. JohnsonC000-100.14000014:05
23J. ChristiansenD000000.04100—13:25
86K. MarchenkoR000010.00000—11:19
34C. SillingerC000010.020105011:10
7S. KuralyC000000.052023811:09
50E. RobinsonL000-100.00210—10:30
24M. OlivierR000-100.01400—09:36
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)25223.8802.49-0.5159:18

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).