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Panthers at Blue Jackets
NHL

Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV BSOH, BSFL·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Kuraly's goal at 1:57 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were FLA 50, CBJ 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 3.3 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 47 of 50 (.940). Three stars: 1. Daniil Tarasov (47 saves, .940), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 2 A), 3. Boone Jenner (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    D. Tarasov47 saves, .940
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA118116116350
CBJCBJ1411237523

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:52
  2. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:21

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    2:53
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:38

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Kuraly(6)SHG
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    1:57
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    7:55
  3. CBJ
    B. Jenner(8)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09
    2-5
    18:11
  4. FLA
    backhandxG 0.10
    3-5
    19:05

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:04CBJMarcus Bjork · Holdingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 17:57CBJErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

2nd

  • 1:49FLARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

3rd

  • 0:33CBJMathieu Olivier · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 17:31FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalFLA goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Kuraly, 3rd 1:57 — CBJ 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Fix-Wolansky · On goal · xG 0.23E. Chinakhov · Goal · xG 0.21S. Kuraly · Goal · xG 0.16K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.13B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.09E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.08B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.06M. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.06M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.05K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04K. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.02E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Fix-Wolansky · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.00B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCBJ
3.33 G
All situations
5 G1.7
2.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA76%24%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCBJ
50
Shots on goal
23
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
33
4
Blocked shots
29
2
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-270.37000—24:48
5A. EkbladD101+170.38012—23:35
19M. TkachukL101030.36100—22:16
42G. ForslingD022+250.18100—21:43
16A. BarkovC000-130.190004321:09
13S. ReinhartC000-220.170006719:03
7R. GudasD000040.05302—18:33
23C. VerhaegheC000010.09000017:58
9S. BennettC000030.291004217:46
28J. MahuraD011+120.03010—16:32
27E. LuostarinenC000+130.18110016:09
15A. LundellC000+110.390005715:51
18M. StaalD000-220.09500—12:53
6C. WhiteC101+110.10000012:08
21N. CousinsC022+120.1301010011:13
94R. LombergL000-100.13300—10:13
12E. StaalC000020.111006709:39
70P. HornqvistR000020.07000—08:48
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)23185.7831.72-3.2857:59

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).