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Jets at Blues
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV BSMW, TSN3·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 0:27 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 20, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Thomas Greiss stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (29 saves, .935), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Dubois2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1102525520
STLSTL01019112231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois(12)
    M. Scheifele (7), L. Stanley (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:49

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(11)
    M. Eyssimont (3), N. Pionk (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:27
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(8)PPG
    M. Scheifele (8), P. Dubois (15)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    4:06
  3. STL
    R. Thomas(6)
    V. Tarasenko (13), C. Rosen (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    18:36

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois(13)
    J. Morrissey (23), D. DeMelo (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    7:39
  2. STL
    J. Leivo(2)
    R. O'Reilly (5), B. Schenn (14)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    10:43
  3. WPG
    C. Perfetti(5)EN
    B. Wheeler (16), N. Pionk (9)
    wristxG 0.50
    5-2
    18:07

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:58WPGDylan DeMelo · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 3:26STLColton Parayko · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 11:35WPGCole Perfetti · Hookingdrawn by William Bitten2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 0:27 — WPG 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.25I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.13J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.11J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.08B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
2.94 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.43 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG41%59%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
6
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5B. DillonD000+110.04220—22:15
4N. PionkD022+110.05140—21:22
44J. MorrisseyD011+200.03020—21:00
88N. SchmidtD000-110.02000—19:04
55M. ScheifeleC022010.140001118:53
26B. WheelerR112+130.810105018:45
64L. StanleyD011010.05520—17:59
2D. DeMeloD011+110.04112—17:51
81K. ConnorL101+120.38010—17:12
80P. DuboisC213+320.180104316:40
36M. BarronC000-100.00210016:38
17A. LowryC000-110.052007115:50
23M. EyssimontC011+220.12500015:30
12J. HarkinsC000-110.23020015:00
91C. PerfettiC101+230.7200210014:53
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000-100.00110—13:17
19D. GustafssonC000+100.001003312:55
8S. MaenalanenR000000.00200—01:11
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)31292.9352.31+0.3159:45

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).