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Blues at Jets
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV BSMW, SN·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 9:32 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 21% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 26, WPG 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (2 G), 2. Jake Neighbours (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Neighbours1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0121717226
WPGWPG01201948439

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(4)PPG
    T. Krug (16), J. Binnington (1)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    14:36

3rd period

  1. STL
    N. Alexandrov(3)
    J. Leivo (9), J. Neighbours (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:02
  2. WPG
    J. Morrissey(9)
    S. Maenalanen (3), N. Pionk (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:42
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(30)
    N. Ehlers (14), K. Connor (34)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    9:32
  4. WPG
    J. Morrissey(10)
    M. Barron (7), S. Maenalanen (4)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    9:53
  5. WPG
    M. Scheifele(31)EN
    B. Wheeler (25), K. Connor (35)
    backhandxG 0.70win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:36

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:14WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 3:37STLNikita Alexandrov · High sticking double minordrawn by Kyle Connor4 min

2nd

  • 2:53STLColton Parayko · Interferencedrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min
  • 8:20STLIvan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 13:32WPGNate Schmidt · Holdingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 15:12STLNick Leddy · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 16:47STLAlexey Toropchenko · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 3rd 9:32 — WPG 21% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.70M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.29P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.26K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.21K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.17P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.16S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.12S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.10K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.07S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.01K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG4 G · 4.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
1.92 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL28%72%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
26
Shots on goal
39
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
22
19
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-340.08310—25:24
55C. ParaykoD000-100.02012—22:55
10B. SchennC000-300.001005220:48
52N. AcciariC000-110.262406520:48
4N. LeddyD000-110.02002—20:32
49I. BarbashevL000-110.045125019:15
20B. SaadL000-120.21210—17:40
25J. KyrouR000-230.34000—17:40
77N. MikkolaD000+110.06410—17:36
47T. KrugD011-320.02040—16:54
91V. TarasenkoR000-130.25100—15:29
43C. RosenD000+120.04010—15:03
9T. PitlickC000-200.00010011:30
13A. ToropchenkoR000-110.08312—10:50
63J. NeighboursL112020.19000—10:28
17J. LeivoL011+120.13010—09:47
59N. AlexandrovC101+110.130142509:09
22L. BrownC000000.060104007:24
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)38353.9213.27+0.2758:48

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).