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Panthers at Oilers
NHL

Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Final/OTTV BSFLX, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 4-3 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 0:22. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 19:55 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 28, EDM 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 36 of 40 (.900); Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Spencer Knight (36 saves, .900).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Knight36 saves, .900

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA110092900328
EDMEDM01411121411440

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(10)
    N. Cousins (5), S. Bennett (11)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:49

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(17)PPG
    Z. Hyman (11), R. Nugent-Hopkins (14)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    10:35

3rd period

  1. EDM
    T. Barrie(4)
    Z. Hyman (12), B. Kulak (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    5:18
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(4)
    S. Reinhart (7), E. Luostarinen (6)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:58
  3. FLA
    B. Montour(5)PPG
    A. Ekblad (5), M. Tkachuk (19)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +33 pts
    3-2
    15:16
  4. EDM
    E. Bouchard(3)
    C. McDavid (21), Z. Hyman (13)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    3-3
    19:55

Overtime

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(13)
    C. McDavid (22), D. Nurse (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:22

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:27FLARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 13:27FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 16:00EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

2nd

  • 4:07EDMBrad Malone · Cross checkingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 9:48FLACarter Verhaeghe · Slashingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

3rd

  • 11:45FLASam Bennett · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 14:38EDMCody Ceci · Holdingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 15:16EDMserved by D. Shore · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 16:18FLAserved by R. Lomberg · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalFLA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, 3rd 19:55 — EDM 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.25L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.12B. Malone · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.11E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.09E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Malone · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsEDM
2.93 G
All situations
4 G4.0
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA33%67%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 3.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
40
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
13
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011-310.03230—24:55
42G. ForslingD000-210.01110—23:40
62B. MontourD101030.15110—23:10
19M. TkachukL112-140.69010—23:01
9S. BennettC011-120.121023820:33
13S. ReinhartC011-130.400205720:16
15A. LundellC101040.460225819:05
7R. GudasD000+220.21602—18:25
18M. StaalD000010.02510—17:44
23C. VerhaegheC000-120.30102016:40
27E. LuostarinenC011+100.070104314:22
21N. CousinsC011+120.21020013:35
12E. StaalC000010.040102012:02
28J. MahuraD000+200.00600—11:38
94R. LombergL000010.2220010008:58
6C. WhiteC000010.011005008:32
70P. HornqvistR000000.00010—08:12
20A. HeponiemiC000000.00000007:31
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(O)40364.9004.02+0.0260:22

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).