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Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV BSFL, SN·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 2:42 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 30% to 52%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.2, FLA 3.4; shots on goal were EDM 32, FLA 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyson Barrie (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (2 G), 3. Stuart Skinner (40 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    T. Barrie2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner40 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM07114311432
FLAFLA020010212242

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    11:49

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    2:42
  2. EDM
    T. Barrie(3)PPG
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    6:53
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    15:07
  4. FLA
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    3-2
    15:58
  5. EDM
    wristxG 0.75win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:34

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:29EDMDarnell Nurse · Boardingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 9:24FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
  • 16:44FLAAaron Ekblad · Slashingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

2nd

  • 5:14FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:28FLASam Bennett · High stickingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
  • 14:31EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

3rd

  • 0:46EDMZach Hyman · Holding the stickdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 6:49FLAAaron Ekblad · Holding the stickdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 3rd 2:42 — FLA 30% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.27C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.21M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.21A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.19S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.15B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.10C. White · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.00E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 3.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
3.23 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM34%66%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
32
Shots on goal
42
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/5
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+220.06212—26:10
5C. CeciD000+210.02150—24:17
18Z. HymanL000+120.17202—24:08
2E. BouchardD000030.13000—23:53
29L. DraisaitlC011+150.410226123:33
97C. McDavidC011040.262005521:47
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101031.150005020:51
27B. KulakD000-120.09110—18:26
37W. FoegeleL101+130.250005016:04
13J. PuljujarviR011000.00210—15:24
71R. McLeodC011+100.000006714:51
22T. BarrieD202030.14010—13:33
26M. JanmarkC011+110.13000011:24
10D. RyanC000000.001103309:05
80M. NiemelainenD000+100.00210—08:52
21K. KostinC000+120.19100008:02
14D. ShoreC000000.05010007:06
55D. HollowayL000010.16100—06:55
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)42402.9523.42+1.4259:43

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).