Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 2:42 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 30% to 52%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.2, FLA 3.4; shots on goal were EDM 32, FLA 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyson Barrie (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (2 G), 3. Stuart Skinner (40 saves, .952).
Three stars
- ★T. Barrie2 G

- ★★S. Bennett2 G

- ★★★S. Skinner40 saves, .952

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
1-011:49
3rd period
1-12:42
2-16:53
3-115:07
3-215:58
4-218:34
Penalties
1st
- 2:29
Darnell Nurse · Boardingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
- 9:24
Carter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
- 16:44
Aaron Ekblad · Slashingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
2nd
- 5:14
Gustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 14:28
Sam Bennett · High stickingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
- 14:31
Leon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
3rd
- 0:46
Zach Hyman · Holding the stickdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
- 6:49
Aaron Ekblad · Holding the stickdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sam Bennett, 3rd 2:42 — 30% → 52%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.23 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.4
- 1.32 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.6
- 1.21 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.38
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 15
- Hits
- 15
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 8
- Giveaways
- 16
- 8
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
EDM leads 2-0
4@
2this game
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






