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Islanders at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸3
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Final/OTTV MSGSN2, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in overtime, Anthony Beauvillier scoring at 1:56. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 1:56 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 24, TOR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Erik Kallgren stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G), 2. Josh Bailey (1 G), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI17081712324
TORTOR0921301000232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(6)
    S. Aho (3), M. Barzal (20)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:21

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(11)PPG
    W. Nylander (11), M. Marner (19)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:49
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(9)
    T. Liljegren (1), R. Sandin (6)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    14:06

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    17:02

Overtime

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(4)
    B. Nelson (11), N. Dobson (8)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:56

Penalties

NYI 13 PIM·TOR 11 PIM

1st

  • 17:55TORJordie Benn · Holding the stickdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 4:41NYIAlexander Romanov · Cross checkingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 18:37NYIScott Mayfield · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 18:37TORMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 18:37TORMichael Bunting · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 18:37NYICal Clutterbuck · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

3rd

  • 8:52NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Fightingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin5 min
  • 8:52TORRasmus Sandin · Fightingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom5 min
  • 8:52NYIserved by M. Martin · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYI goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, OT 1:56 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.18J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.17A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.09D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.08T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.05R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.05D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 3.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTOR
2.13 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI36%64%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTOR
24
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
1/2
13
Penalty minutes
11
51
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
9
10
Giveaways
18
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC011+110.192103822:50
28A. RomanovD000000.02922—22:45
24S. MayfieldD000+130.13112—21:54
3A. PelechD000000.04210—21:52
6R. PulockD000000.01400—20:19
8N. DobsonD112+140.18110—18:46
29B. NelsonC011+110.044006017:14
27A. LeeL000+130.23200—17:02
44J. PageauC000+110.142103816:26
18A. BeauvillierR101+240.33300—16:00
12J. BaileyR101+110.3310010015:03
11Z. PariseL000030.153106714:52
25S. AhoD011+100.00100—14:43
21K. PalmieriC000010.0300010014:30
15C. ClutterbuckR000-100.00932—13:37
53C. CizikasC000-100.000104312:53
26O. WahlstromR000+110.12205—12:30
17M. MartinL000-110.17500—10:27
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)32302.9382.96+0.9661:56

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).