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Maple Leafs at Islanders
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
New York Islanders
▸7
FinalTV TVAS, TSN4·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 7-2. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Hudson Fasching's goal at 13:50 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals were close — TOR 3.0, NYI 3.2; shots on goal were TOR 27, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 3.3 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cal Clutterbuck (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ilya Sorokin (25 saves, .926), 3. Noah Dobson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    C. Clutterbuck2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR1809110227
NYINYI01039410729

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    S. Lafferty(11)
    T. Liljegren (12), B. McMann (1)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    11:01

2nd period

  1. NYI
    Z. Parise(19)
    S. Mayfield (14), J. Pageau (22)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    0:28
  2. NYI
    H. Fasching(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:50
  3. NYI
    C. Clutterbuck(5)
    R. Pulock (20)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    17:26

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(27)
    A. Matthews (39), J. Holl (13)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:29
  2. NYI
    C. Clutterbuck(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    4:13
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(5)
    A. Lee (21)
    pokexG 0.41win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    10:00
  4. NYI
    N. Dobson(13)EN
    J. Pageau (23)
    wristxG 0.47
    2-6
    13:56
  5. NYI
    A. Lee(27)
    N. Dobson (29), C. Clutterbuck (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07
    2-7
    16:46

Penalties

TOR 9 PIM·NYI 7 PIM

1st

  • 19:35NYIAlexander Romanov · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 19:52TORAuston Matthews · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

2nd

  • 4:48TORSam Lafferty · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

3rd

  • 16:40NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Noel Acciari5 min
  • 16:40TORNoel Acciari · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalTOR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Hudson Fasching, 2nd 13:50 — NYI 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.47S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.42C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.39S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.28Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.18N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.13C. Clutterbuck · Goal · xG 0.10S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.10C. Clutterbuck · Goal · xG 0.09H. Fasching · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.03M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.02P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.00S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI7 G · 3.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNYI
3.02 G
All situations
6 G3.2
2.92 G
Even strength
6 G2.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR58%42%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
29
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
15
Hits
36
9
Blocked shots
19
19
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-310.08000—21:26
22J. McCabeD000-210.15010—20:46
88W. NylanderR000030.1900010020:32
37T. LiljegrenD011-220.09110—19:38
56E. GustafssonD000-230.17110—19:29
55M. GiordanoD000010.07030—19:15
3J. HollD011000.00100—18:33
16M. MarnerR101-320.35000—17:40
34A. MatthewsC011-230.480023117:31
91J. TavaresC000-340.781105016:23
58M. BuntingL000-220.09100—15:57
19C. JarnkrokC000-210.16100014:37
64D. KampfC000-210.101005413:31
15A. KerfootC000000.00110013:14
28S. LaffertyC101010.131122013:11
52N. AcciariC000-110.04305012:16
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000-210.17200—11:35
74B. McMannC011+100.00100010:52
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(L)28226.7862.73-3.2759:34

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).