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Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV BSDET, BSW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime, Ryan Strome scoring at 4:10. The Red Wings scored first; the Ducks answered. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Klingberg's goal at 19:13 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.0, ANA 3.3; shots on goal were DET 33, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 27 of 30 (.900); John Gibson stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Strome (1 G), 2. John Klingberg (1 G), 3. Michael Rasmussen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Strome1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Klingberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET1131100505233
ANAANA110091912330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    7:12
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    17:47

2nd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    19:25

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +49 pts
    2-2
    19:13

Overtime

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.30win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:10

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:48ANASam Carrick · Interferencedrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 17:06DETOskar Sundqvist · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

2nd

  • 2:18DETMichael Rasmussen · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 11:05ANAColton White · Trippingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min

3rd

  • 5:01ANAAustin Strand · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 6:00DETMoritz Seider · Slashingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min
  • 6:50DETLucas Raymond · Roughingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 10:04ANASimon Benoit · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 11:54DETLucas Raymond · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDET goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: John Klingberg, 3rd 19:13 — ANA 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.30M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.23F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.14P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.12M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.10I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.04R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.03S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.03A. Strand · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsANA
3.02 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET46%54%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsANA
33
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
17
25
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-110.10140—25:15
53M. SeiderD000-110.15222—24:11
71D. LarkinC000-170.931105423:32
2O. MaattaD000020.04040—23:20
8B. ChiarotD000-110.05230—20:50
59T. BertuzziL000-130.18210—18:39
73A. ErneL000-120.1911010018:23
23L. RaymondL011020.06004—17:37
57D. PerronL011+110.19000—16:47
70O. SundqvistC011+130.312227516:34
18A. CoppC000-100.000006016:22
27M. RasmussenC101+130.244025715:22
81D. KubalikL000-130.13020—15:20
96J. WalmanD000+110.08210—13:29
82J. OesterleD000+100.00010—11:27
24P. SuterC000010.071005011:06
52J. BerggrenR101010.28020—08:36
90J. VelenoC000010.011105006:59
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(O)30273.9003.27+0.2764:10

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).