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Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV ESPN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joseph Veleno's goal at 4:07 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 33, DET 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. John Gibson stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 1.1 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dominik Kubalik (1 G, 2 A), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ville Husso (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Kubalik1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    V. Husso32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11209012133
DETDET21419218541

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:02
  2. ANA
    pokexG 0.32win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:31
  3. DET
    D. Perron(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:28

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. Erne (1), P. Suter (2)
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:07

3rd period

  1. DET
    slapxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    3:44
  2. DET
    backhandxG 0.76
    1-5
    14:24

Penalties

ANA 14 PIM·DET 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:18ANANathan Beaulieu · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 8:09DETGustav Lindstrom · Slashingdrawn by Pavol Regenda2 min
  • 13:10ANAJohn Gibson · Elbowingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 13:10ANAJohn Gibson · Roughingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 13:10DETAdam Erne · Slashingdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 13:51ANAMaxime Comtois · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 13:51ANAMaxime Comtois · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 13:51DETOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 17:33DETFilip Zadina · Cross checkingdrawn by Pavol Regenda2 min
  • 17:52DETAndrew Copp · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

2nd

  • 7:43DETMoritz Seider · Roughingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

3rd

  • 3:19ANAserved by M. McTavish · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 4:15ANAMax Jones · Elbowingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalANA goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Joseph Veleno, 2nd 4:07 — DET 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Soderblom · Goal · xG 0.75A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.23P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.19D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.19J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.16J. Veleno · Goal · xG 0.16D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.15D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.13D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.10F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.08A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.05L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.01G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 3.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsDET
2.51 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
3 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA27%73%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 3.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsDET
33
Shots on goal
41
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
3/5
14
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
27
8
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000020.10010—26:04
6J. DrysdaleD000030.10010—20:03
22K. ShattenkirkD000030.09100—19:47
29D. KulikovD000-130.09330—18:38
11T. ZegrasC101+130.401005617:30
3J. KlingbergD000-100.01000—17:25
28N. BeaulieuD000010.06302—16:45
14A. HenriqueC011+110.120003316:41
16R. StromeC000-100.000105016:40
19T. TerryR011+130.24000—16:04
37M. McTavishC000-110.122105016:02
33J. SilfverbergR000020.34000—15:57
77F. VatranoR000-210.12110—15:49
38D. GrantC000-120.053005613:40
49M. JonesL000040.22102—12:23
21I. LundestromC000000.060005612:02
44M. ComtoisL000020.0240410011:12
40P. RegendaL000-120.35000—10:52
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)41365.8783.89-1.1160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).