Skip to content
Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Calgary Flames
▸3
FinalTV CBC, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Lewis's goal at 18:31 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were WPG 23, CGY 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (21 saves, .913), 2. Adam Ruzicka (1 G, 1 A), 3. Neal Pionk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom21 saves, .913
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Ruzicka1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Pionk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1911004223
CGYCGY210114011335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(5)
    A. Ruzicka (2), R. Andersson (10)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:23
  2. WPG
    N. Pionk(4)
    J. Morrissey (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:46
  3. CGY
    A. Ruzicka(1)
    E. Lindholm (5), R. Andersson (11)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:22

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois(7)
    J. Morrissey (13), N. Pionk (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    4:23
  2. CGY
    T. Lewis(3)SHG
    M. Backlund (3), N. Hanifin (3)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    18:31

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 18:33WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 18:33CGYBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 2:35WPGAdam Lowry · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 2:35CGYMilan Lucic · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 6:00WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 8:25CGYBlake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 12:22WPGMason Appleton · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 18:21CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 19:02CGYJacob Markstrom · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 3:40WPGCole Perfetti · Cross checkingdrawn by Brett Ritchie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor Lewis, 2nd 18:31 — CGY 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.38T. Lewis · Goal · xG 0.21E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.20A. Ruzicka · Goal · xG 0.13N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mackey · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mackey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
2.12 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG42%58%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
27
15
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD022010.24110—24:25
4N. PionkD112+110.06200—22:26
80P. DuboisC101010.101045621:10
88N. SchmidtD000010.07010—20:28
55M. ScheifeleC000-320.150005019:14
81K. ConnorL000-320.19010—19:05
26B. WheelerR000+110.080006717:57
5B. DillonD000-100.00020—17:47
22M. AppletonC000-120.22002016:35
2D. DeMeloD000-110.01110—16:20
54D. SambergD000020.04150—15:13
91C. PerfettiC000000.0030210015:02
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000030.16010—13:42
17A. LowryC000020.165124312:22
8S. MaenalanenR000000.13200—11:21
19D. GustafssonC000020.180106710:43
89S. GagnerC000020.30010010:35
12J. HarkinsC000+100.00000007:14
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)35323.9142.45-0.5558:21

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).