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Canucks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV SN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The Maple Leafs came back from two goals down. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordie Benn's goal at 10:01 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were VAN 29, TOR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Erik Kallgren stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Jordie Benn (1 G), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G), 3. Bo Horvat (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Benn1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN29010010229
TORTOR01031707334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(13)
    L. Schenn (6), V. Podkolzin (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:41
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(8)PPG
    Q. Hughes (13), B. Boeser (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    12:11

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(7)PPG
    M. Marner (15), J. Tavares (8)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    1:46
  2. TOR
    P. Engvall(2)
    C. Jarnkrok (2), M. Giordano (3)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:27
  3. TOR
    J. Benn(1)
    M. Rielly (12), W. Nylander (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    10:01

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:48TORMichael Bunting · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 17:47VANNils Aman · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

2nd

  • 0:30VANQuinn Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 18:42TORJordie Benn · Interferencedrawn by Conor Garland2 min

3rd

  • 1:11TORTimothy Liljegren · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:26TORZachary Aston-Reese · Interferencedrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVAN goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordie Benn, 2nd 10:01 — TOR 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.32A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.19A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.14P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.13C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.13C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.12P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.10N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.06M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.01D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsTOR
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN34%66%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
38
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
21
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011020.07002—24:27
9J. MillerC101-240.252204023:06
40E. PetterssonC000020.163104022:45
53B. HorvatC101+130.400105422:20
6B. BoeserR011-250.32300—21:42
57T. MyersD000000.03410—21:40
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000020.08200—20:43
2L. SchennD011010.021220—17:19
74E. BearD000-110.00120—16:11
65I. MikheyevR000-210.05110—15:56
8C. GarlandR000+140.31000—15:26
92V. PodkolzinR011+100.11310—14:28
61R. StillmanD000-100.00300—12:30
18J. StudnickaC000020.01010010:47
88N. AmanC000000.001022910:22
81D. JoshuaC000010.13300009:49
21N. HoglanderL000000.00000—09:41
96A. KuzmenkoL000010.08010—09:27
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Martin(L)34313.9123.10+0.1058:05

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).