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Maple Leafs at Canucks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
Vancouver Canucks
▸4
FinalTV SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 6:49 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 45% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were TOR 37, VAN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.1 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Thatcher Demko (36 saves, .973), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Demko36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR01409114137
VANVAN0511138424

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    A. Kuzmenko(29)PPG
    Q. Hughes (53), B. Boeser (28)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    17:51

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(28)PPG
    W. Nylander (41), M. Rielly (30)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    1:32
  2. VAN
    E. Pettersson(29)SHG
    J. Miller (35), T. Myers (10)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +30 pts
    1-2
    6:49
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(21)SHG
    E. Pettersson (49), Q. Hughes (54)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-3
    7:33
  4. VAN
    N. Aman(3)
    B. Boeser (29), P. Di Giuseppe (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    12:34

Penalties

TOR 21 PIM·VAN 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:59TORJake McCabe · Instigatordrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 0:59VANTyler Myers · Fightingdrawn by Jake McCabe5 min
  • 0:59TORJake McCabe · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Myers5 min
  • 0:59TORJake McCabe · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 6:01TORNoel Acciari · Holdingdrawn by Christian Wolanin2 min
  • 13:28VANNils Aman · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Matt Murray2 min

2nd

  • 0:32VANNoah Juulsen · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 16:32TORMorgan Rielly · Holdingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min

3rd

  • 0:45VANTyler Myers · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 6:31VANPhillip Di Giuseppe · High stickingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalTOR goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 3rd 6:49 — VAN 45% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.60V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.28A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.22E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.20N. Aman · Goal · xG 0.19C. Wolanin · Missed · xG 0.18C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.17P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.15J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.14A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.13A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.10S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06S. Dries · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aman · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aman · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 3.5 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVAN
3.21 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR54%46%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVAN
37
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
1/3
21
Penalty minutes
13
16
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
2
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR000-210.02010—22:51
88W. NylanderR011-340.46000—21:55
44M. RiellyD011-330.21312—21:39
91J. TavaresC101-380.961008621:21
78T. BrodieD000000.00120—19:16
34A. MatthewsC000-240.201206218:17
15A. KerfootC000000.1510010016:18
28S. LaffertyC000010.00020015:55
3J. HollD000000.00020—15:43
19C. JarnkrokC000050.31010015:42
55M. GiordanoD000010.11020—15:02
58M. BuntingL000-130.23100—15:01
56E. GustafssonD000020.05000—14:02
64D. KampfC000010.030103313:47
22J. McCabeD000000.000117—13:09
52N. AcciariC000010.11512012:28
2L. SchennD000-120.02300—12:10
90R. O'ReillyC000010.310002711:11
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)24204.8332.90-1.1058:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).