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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

FinalTV BSFLX, BSSO·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Cousins's goal at 9:21 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.2 to 3.2; shots on goal were CAR 40, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 3.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Spencer Knight (40 saves, 1.000), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G), 3. Nick Cousins (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Knight40 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    N. Cousins1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR011011018040
FLAFLA112013212337

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.46win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:21

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    10:20
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.80
    0-3
    19:54

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 0:33CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 6:40CARMartin Necas · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 14:25CARDerek Stepan · Hookingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 19:35FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min

3rd

  • 2:07FLASam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 8:49CARJack Drury · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 13:42FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Cousins, 1st 9:21 — FLA 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.80N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.46S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.17A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.14N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.14R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.11R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kiersted · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kiersted · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 4.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
3.20 G
All situations
2 G4.2
2.30 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR46%54%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
40
Shots on goal
37
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
26
8
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000030.20000—24:59
74J. SlavinD000010.08020—21:34
20S. AhoC000-160.620106121:07
22B. PesceD000-110.03110—20:12
76B. SkjeiD000-120.16110—20:02
37A. SvechnikovR000-120.07300—19:31
88M. NecasC000-160.512123619:10
11J. StaalC000-120.042006315:47
71J. FastR000-100.23200—14:57
86T. TeravainenC000050.46110014:33
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.00100014:07
23S. NoesenR000-160.48300—14:03
24S. JarvisR000010.0110010013:59
15D. CoghlanD000-110.03200—13:43
5J. ChatfieldD000-110.02100—13:12
21D. StepanC000010.011025012:49
48J. MartinookL000-120.11112—12:42
18J. DruryC000000.142027509:04
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(L)36342.9443.41+1.4156:58

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).