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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
Florida Panthers
4
FinalTV BSSO, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 6-4. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brent Burns's goal at 6:07 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 3.3; shots on goal were CAR 36, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G), 3. Brent Burns (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Burns2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR111113412636
FLAFLA01005419434

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(17)
    S. Aho (31), S. Jarvis (24)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:21

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:12

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(23)
    S. Reinhart (36), R. Gudas (13)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    1:14
  2. FLA
    R. Lomberg(12)
    R. Gudas (14)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    3:33
  3. CAR
    B. Burns(18)
    J. Drury (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    6:07
  4. CAR
    J. Fast(10)
    J. Staal (17), S. Gostisbehere (28)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    6:28
  5. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(13)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:20
  6. FLA
    A. Duclair(2)
    E. Staal (15), R. Gudas (15)
    slapxG 0.05
    5-3
    17:58
  7. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(42)
    M. Tkachuk (69)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +4 pts
    5-4
    18:36
  8. CAR
    S. Aho(36)EN
    S. Jarvis (25)
    wristxG 0.74win prob +4 pts
    6-4
    19:00

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·FLA 20 PIM

1st

  • 0:07FLABrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 15:56CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 17:04FLASam Reinhart · High stickingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

2nd

  • 5:10FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

3rd

  • 13:12FLARyan Lomberg · Trippingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 15:15CARShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 19:50CARStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 19:50FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:50FLABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Brent Burns, 3rd 6:07 — CAR 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.24M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.23A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.20R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.17B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.15M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.13A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.06G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.04M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
4.44 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.64 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 113 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR48%52%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
36
Shots on goal
34
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
20
14
Hits
31
16
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD202+350.16100—22:57
76B. SkjeiD000-140.60000—22:41
74J. SlavinD000+300.00010—21:43
22B. PesceD000-110.03220—20:24
20S. AhoC112+220.901205019:54
86T. TeravainenC000+210.02100019:25
24S. JarvisR022+210.42110—18:41
82J. KotkaniemiC101-140.071004517:15
88M. NecasC000-120.171103317:13
23S. NoesenR000-100.160023315:43
41S. GostisbehereD112+110.52032—15:30
48J. MartinookL000010.12300—14:54
18J. DruryC011040.30110014:02
11J. StaalC011020.241124413:58
71J. FastR101020.33110—13:10
5J. ChatfieldD000050.22010—12:52
13J. PuljujarviR000+110.05010—08:04
26P. StastnyC000+100.060102007:24
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)34304.8823.34-0.6660:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).