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Blue Jackets at Avalanche
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV NHLN, ALT·Nokia Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Kuraly's goal at 2:32 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 23% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.3 to 3.3; shots on goal were CBJ 39, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.2 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (4 A), 3. Patrik Laine (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon4 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    P. Laine1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ07213119339
COLCOL21619311636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:36
  2. COL
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    12:27

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    0:35
  2. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    1:35
  3. CBJ
    snapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    7:16

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.16win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    2:32
  2. COL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    3-4
    8:54
  3. COL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    10:49
  4. COL
    snapxG 0.46
    3-6
    18:56

Penalties

CBJ 10 PIM·COL 14 PIM

1st

  • 10:33CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 13:41CBJGustav Nyquist · Slashingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 17:32COLMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

2nd

  • 1:29COLSamuel Girard · Trippingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 9:43COLserved by J. MacDonald · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:39CBJJohnny Gaudreau · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 13:13COLNathan MacKinnon · Cross checkingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 13:13COLNathan MacKinnon · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 16:38CBJJohnny Gaudreau · High stickingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

3rd

  • 3:54COLDryden Hunt · High sticking double minordrawn by Jakub Voracek4 min
  • 7:44CBJPatrik Laine · Slashingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCBJ goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Kuraly, 3rd 2:32 — CBJ 23% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.46A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.21M. Kaut · Missed · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.12A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02M. Maltsev · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01
COL6 G · 3.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCOL
4.33 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
2.51 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ70%30%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.19 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCOL
39
Shots on goal
36
64%
Faceoffs
36%
1/7
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
14
18
Hits
5
13
Blocked shots
18
2
Giveaways
1
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011-130.31040—28:55
13J. GaudreauL011-161.05004—24:05
29P. LaineL112-170.570025023:36
96J. RoslovicC000-110.280108022:13
4V. GavrikovD000020.09322—19:20
2A. PeekeD000-100.00120—19:18
93J. VoracekR101030.32000—18:55
38B. JennerC011-140.672005418:12
77N. BlankenburgD000-120.05010—17:42
14G. NyquistR000030.20012—14:59
7S. KuralyC101010.163107412:43
50E. RobinsonL011000.00100—12:10
44E. GudbransonD000010.02110—11:53
34C. SillingerC000-140.482004411:20
22J. BeanD000010.01100—10:22
91K. JohnsonC000-100.09200009:45
59E. ChinakhovR000-100.00200—09:42
19L. FoudyC011010.04000008:23
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)35305.8572.84-2.1657:23

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).