Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan O'Connor's goal at 4:13 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were COL 45, CBJ 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 40 of 45 (.889), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (3 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (3 A), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Makar3 A

- ★★N. MacKinnon3 A

- ★★★A. Lehkonen1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-00:33
1-112:27
2nd period
2-11:22
3-14:13
4-14:50
3rd period
5-11:36
Penalties
1st
- 4:49
Gustav Nyquist · Slashingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
- 11:59
Samuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
2nd
- 18:53
Kurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
- 18:53
Mathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Logan O'Connor, 2nd 4:13 — 64% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.85 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.7
- 3.55 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.5
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 1.66
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 45
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/1
- 7
- Penalty minutes
- 7
- 10
- Hits
- 13
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 2
- Giveaways
- 2
- 3
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
COL leads 2-0
3@
6Final
5@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
