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New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV MSG, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Bratt's goal at 16:52 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.4 to 3.9; shots on goal were NJD 43, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 39 of 43 (.907). Three stars: 1. Miles Wood (2 G, 1 A), 2. Zach Hyman (1 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    M. Wood2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD115011317443
EDMEDM110214013337

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:20
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:22

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    8:00
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    9:26

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    1:14
  2. NJD
    T. Tatar (4), M. Wood (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +40 pts
    3-3
    16:45
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.12win prob +44 pts
    4-3
    16:52

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:36EDMBrett Kulak · Cross checkingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 15:25EDMDerek Ryan · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min

2nd

  • 2:59NJDYegor Sharangovich · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 8:20NJDDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 4:26EDMTyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNJD goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Bratt, 3rd 16:52 — NJD 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.26Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.23E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.20D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.18K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.11E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.10R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.07M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 4.4 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsEDM
3.94 G
All situations
3 G4.4
3.24 G
Even strength
2 G3.9
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD43%57%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.90 – 4.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsEDM
43
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
21
11
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD011+200.01100—24:01
33R. GravesD101+310.07220—22:26
71J. SiegenthalerD000+130.15110—21:47
7D. HamiltonD000090.29100—21:16
13N. HischierC011+130.641005520:18
86J. HughesC000-120.460001419:15
56E. HaulaL011+120.172005017:54
63J. BrattL101020.25100—17:12
28D. SeversonD000-110.04112—16:15
17Y. SharangovichC000-130.14112016:08
44M. WoodL213+380.50300—16:06
91D. MercerC000-150.34010015:43
90T. TatarL011+110.19210—15:12
14N. BastianR011+100.09210—12:49
49F. ZetterlundL000+120.53010—12:45
70J. BoqvistC000010.06000009:49
20M. McLeodC011+100.002105009:17
2B. SmithD000-100.00400—08:41
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)19181.9472.61+1.6131:19
29M. Blackwood18162.8891.82-0.1828:41

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).