Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dawson Mercer's goal at 5:15 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.9, NJD 2.7; shots on goal were EDM 30, NJD 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.3 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vitek Vanecek (28 saves, .933), 2. Nico Hischier (3 A), 3. Tomas Tatar (1 G).
Three stars
- ★V. Vanecek28 saves, .933

- ★★N. Hischier3 A

- ★★★T. Tatar1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-12:25
1-113:02
2nd period
1-25:15
1-38:45
3rd period
2-34:52
2-47:07
2-514:45
Penalties
1st
- 2:03
Klim Kostin · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
- 4:35
Erik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
- 11:12
Jonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
2nd
- 13:53
Connor McDavid · Slashingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
- 16:33
Miles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
3rd
- 16:29
Nathan Bastian · Hookingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
- 18:26
Ryan McLeod · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dawson Mercer, 2nd 5:15 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.92 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.7
- 1.71 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.4
- 1.21 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 2.66
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 18
- Hits
- 20
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 4
- Giveaways
- 6
- 1
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
NJD leads 2-0
4@
3Final
2@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
