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Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSGSN, SNOL·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dawson Mercer's goal at 5:15 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.9, NJD 2.7; shots on goal were EDM 30, NJD 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.3 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vitek Vanecek (28 saves, .933), 2. Nico Hischier (3 A), 3. Tomas Tatar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    V. Vanecek28 saves, .933
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier3 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Tatar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11107112230
NJDNJD15212211528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    2:25
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    13:02

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.50win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:15
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt (16), J. Hughes (14)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    8:45

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    4:52
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    7:07
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    14:45

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:03EDMKlim Kostin · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 4:35NJDErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 11:12NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 13:53EDMConnor McDavid · Slashingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 16:33NJDMiles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 16:29NJDNathan Bastian · Hookingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 18:26EDMRyan McLeod · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalEDM goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Dawson Mercer, 2nd 5:15 — NJD 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.50Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.15J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.11J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.11T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.10J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.07D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.07T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.06E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.03B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.00T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 2.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNJD
2.92 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM53%47%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-110.04240—24:05
97C. McDavidC011-150.570025823:46
29L. DraisaitlC101-140.431004722:53
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101-170.590006722:10
18Z. HymanL000-120.20000—19:42
22T. BarrieD000-220.19210—19:25
71R. McLeodC000010.160123819:05
5C. CeciD011000.00100—18:05
13J. PuljujarviR011-100.09210—17:00
2E. BouchardD011-120.10000—15:58
26M. JanmarkC000-210.2111010015:14
28R. MurrayD000000.00000—14:41
27B. KulakD000-210.01130—13:03
37W. FoegeleL000-110.04300—12:59
10D. RyanC000-100.001006411:00
55D. HollowayL000000.12100—09:54
21K. KostinC000010.09102009:36
80M. NiemelainenD000020.02220—07:42
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)28235.8212.69-2.3159:46

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).