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Coyotes at Maple Leafs
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
FinalTV BSAZ, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shayne Gostisbehere's goal at 18:27 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 58% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were ARI 19, TOR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Erik Kallgren stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nick Ritchie (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Tavares (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    S. Gostisbehere1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    N. Ritchie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI141926419
TORTOR0508215228

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    N. Ritchie(3)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (3), J. Moser (3)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    19:34

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Fischer(1)
    N. Bjugstad (2)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    8:30

3rd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(3)PPG
    J. Tavares (4), M. Rielly (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    2-1
    12:54
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +37 pts
    2-2
    13:18
  3. ARI
    S. Gostisbehere(2)PPG
    C. Keller (1), N. Ritchie (1)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +38 pts
    3-2
    18:27
  4. ARI
    L. Crouse(1)EN
    C. Fischer (1)
    wristxG 0.70win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:49

Penalties

ARI 12 PIM·TOR 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:34ARIJ.J. Moser · Cross checkingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 2:55TORNicolas Aube-Kubel · Kneeingdrawn by Dysin Mayo2 min
  • 10:13ARIJack McBain · Roughingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 10:13TORTJ Brodie · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 16:34ARINick Ritchie · Boardingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 18:43TORCalle Jarnkrok · Interferencedrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 9:01TORJustin Holl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:20ARIJoshua Brown · Cross checkingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 17:45TORserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:06ARITravis Boyd · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 11:19ARIJack McBain · Holdingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 17:55TORCalle Jarnkrok · Interferencedrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalARI goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Shayne Gostisbehere, 3rd 18:27 — ARI 58% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.21D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.16M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.15W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.14M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.13W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.12T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.11M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.10C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.09D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.04P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01
TOR2 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsTOR
2.83 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.42 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI33%67%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsTOR
19
Shots on goal
28
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/5
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
7
10
Giveaways
14
1
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
51T. StecherD000020.04120—23:04
90J. MoserD011000.00132—22:21
14S. GostisbehereD112010.14020—22:11
3J. BrownD000+110.04412—18:44
61D. MayoD000010.03340—17:41
17N. BjugstadC011+210.103104416:47
36C. FischerR112+230.54210—16:43
72T. BoydC000-110.270023316:01
67L. CrouseL101030.99100—15:45
29B. HaytonC000010.120104215:31
38L. O'BrienC000000.00100014:50
9C. KellerR011-100.0800010014:29
12N. RitchieL112010.05202—13:50
4J. VälimäkiD000+100.00000—13:47
22J. McBainC000000.001045012:14
63M. MaccelliL000+110.08000—12:05
11D. GuentherR000020.15120—11:34
44Z. KassianR000010.14310—10:48
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)28262.9293.02+1.0260:00

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).