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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ESPN, BSSC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cody Ceci's goal at 13:15 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were LAK 29, EDM 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Quick (39 saves, .951), 3. Mike Smith (29 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Quick39 saves, .951
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Smith29 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK07011011029
EDMEDM01012417241

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.02win prob +20 pts
    0-1
    13:15

3rd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-2
    16:07

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·EDM 0 PIM

2nd

  • 14:10LAKSean Durzi · Hookingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Cody Ceci, 2nd 13:15 — EDM 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.33E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.23K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.19K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.12J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.09J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.05D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 3.7 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
1.40 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK15%85%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.39 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
41
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
38
Hits
38
21
Blocked shots
26
12
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000-240.11120—23:21
44M. AndersonD000-110.02020—22:11
11A. KopitarC000-140.163005420:58
24P. DanaultC000000.002004620:51
50S. DurziD000-110.03032—20:26
9A. KempeR000-130.24410—19:22
6O. MaattaD000020.09330—19:10
12T. MooreL000020.17110—19:08
91C. GrundstromR000020.17520—17:13
19A. IafalloL000040.07000—17:08
2A. EdlerD000000.02610—16:47
51T. StecherD000010.01330—16:31
34A. KaliyevR000-110.03000—14:09
46B. LizotteC000-100.042105012:57
23D. BrownR000-100.01510—11:56
22A. AthanasiouC000-110.01000011:54
48B. LemieuxL000030.2421010008:54
89R. KupariC000000.001008308:01
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)41392.9513.72+1.7257:03

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).