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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV ESPN2, BSSC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4 in overtime, Adrian Kempe scoring at 1:12. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adrian Kempe's goal at 1:12 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 43, EDM 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 38 of 43 (.884). Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK1162911612543
EDMEDM051931400428

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:53

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:32
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:29
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    13:34

3rd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    2:50
  2. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    11:06
  3. EDM
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.33win prob +13 pts
    4-3
    12:33
  4. EDM
    slapxG 0.16win prob +33 pts
    4-4
    15:08

Overtime

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.22win prob +52 pts
    5-4
    1:12

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·EDM 14 PIM

1st

  • 9:53LAKAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

2nd

  • 0:04LAKTrevor Moore · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 0:04EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 0:04EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 19:00EDMZack Kassian · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 19:00EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 19:00LAKBlake Lizotte · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 2:47LAKBlake Lizotte · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 7:28EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 9:13EDMRyan McLeod · High sticking double minordrawn by Matt Roy4 min
  • 14:37LAKPhillip Danault · Interferencedrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Adrian Kempe, OT 1:12 — LAK 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.33Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.27Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.24L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.05R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM4 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
4.75 G
All situations
4 G2.5
2.64 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.91 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK80%20%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.62 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
43
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
14
31
Hits
42
30
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
21
9
Takeaways
20

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24P. DanaultC101+130.252025623:20
11A. KopitarC011+240.412104822:34
44M. AndersonD000010.02520—21:35
9A. KempeR213+291.1610010021:29
3M. RoyD000-110.03050—21:26
12T. MooreL000040.51222—21:18
50S. DurziD011+110.13240—21:14
19A. IafalloL011+160.20140—18:33
91C. GrundstromR000040.77220—17:35
2A. EdlerD011+200.01422—17:31
51T. StecherD112+220.06120—16:37
6O. MaattaD000+110.04220—15:56
23D. BrownR011020.25300—14:37
46B. LizotteC000000.042143314:04
22A. AthanasiouC101010.33110011:50
34A. KaliyevR000040.41010—11:07
48B. LemieuxL000-100.00010—07:07
89R. KupariC000000.061004005:33
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)28244.8572.51-1.4961:12

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).