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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV BSOH, BSSUN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Sillinger's goal at 10:47 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were TBL 27, CBJ 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.8 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G, 1 A), 2. Elvis Merzlikins (25 saves, .926), 3. Cole Sillinger (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    C. Sillinger1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL0611219227
CBJCBJ19113313535

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:03

2nd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    10:15
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.21win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:47

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    G. Nyquist (34), J. Bean (17)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    0:15
  2. CBJ
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.01win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    9:05
  3. TBL
    C. Perry(18)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.19
    2-4
    16:54
  4. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51
    2-5
    18:09

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·CBJ 16 PIM

1st

  • 11:51CBJJack Roslovic · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 19:59TBLAlex Killorn · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

2nd

  • 2:52CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 10:05CBJGabriel Carlsson · High stickingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 11:43CBJJustin Danforth · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
  • 20:00TBLPatrick Maroon · Slashingdrawn by Elvis Merzlikins2 min
  • 20:00TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Elvis Merzlikins2 min
  • 20:00CBJElvis Merzlikins · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

3rd

  • 1:52CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 5:08TBLVictor Hedman · Interferencedrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 6:35CBJCole Sillinger · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 11:42TBLSteven Stamkos · Trippingdrawn by Dean Kukan2 min
  • 16:24CBJEgor Chinakhov · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Sillinger, 2nd 10:47 — CBJ 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Peeke · Goal · xG 0.51G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.24C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.21C. Meyer · On goal · xG 0.21J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.18C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.17G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.16C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.15J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.15J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.14J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.13C. Meyer · On goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.10G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.10K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.09V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.05K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.05D. Kukan · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.04G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.02G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.01B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.01G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.00V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
2.92 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.42 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL44%56%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
27
Shots on goal
35
38%
Faceoffs
63%
2/7
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
16
14
Hits
9
8
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD022-130.25012—23:37
98M. SergachevD000-220.02000—21:55
86N. KucherovR101-230.17000—21:41
91S. StamkosC022-220.081025620:33
21B. PointC000-110.331104020:17
27R. McDonaghD000-110.06420—18:46
81E. CernakD000-310.01000—17:32
17A. KillornL000-230.50102—15:37
20N. PaulL000010.040102715:11
71A. CirelliC000-210.281006014:52
18O. PalatL000-210.16010—14:31
52C. FooteD000000.00200—14:25
38B. HagelL000-110.010103314:06
10C. PerryR101-110.42000—13:37
79R. ColtonC000-110.07110013:30
14P. MaroonL000020.19104—12:59
24Z. BogosianD000020.15200—11:57
41P. BellemareL000010.130002311:27
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1B. Elliott(L)34304.8823.22-0.7857:12

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).