Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 7-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 9:30 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 36, CBJ 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 29 of 36 (.806), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ondrej Palat (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Point (1 G, 2 A), 3. Corey Perry (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-04:53
2-09:30
3-017:27
2nd period
3-10:37
4-11:36
4-24:16
5-212:19
3rd period
6-20:36
7-212:20
Penalties
1st
- 4:18
Sean Kuraly · Hookingdrawn by Cal Foote2 min
- 6:51
Ondrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Dean Kukan2 min
- 16:04
Dean Kukan · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
2nd
- 10:09
Boone Jenner · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
- 12:10
Scott Harrington · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 8:45
Erik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
- 17:18
Alex Killorn · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 1st 9:30 — 59% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.47 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.0
- 2.24 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 1.03 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 1.93
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 3/4
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 14
- Hits
- 17
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 4
- Giveaways
- 13
- 9
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
