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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV BSOH, BSSUN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 7-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 9:30 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 36, CBJ 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 29 of 36 (.806), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ondrej Palat (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Point (1 G, 2 A), 3. Corey Perry (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    O. Palat2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    C. Perry1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL31421428736
CBJCBJ072807222

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(11)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    4:53
  2. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:30
  3. TBL
    C. Perry(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    17:27

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    0:37
  2. TBL
    C. Foote (2), O. Palat (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    1:36
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    4-2
    4:16
  4. TBL
    P. Maroon(7)PPG
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    5-2
    12:19

3rd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    6-2
    0:36
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.13
    7-2
    12:20

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:18CBJSean Kuraly · Hookingdrawn by Cal Foote2 min
  • 6:51TBLOndrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Dean Kukan2 min
  • 16:04CBJDean Kukan · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

2nd

  • 10:09CBJBoone Jenner · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 12:10CBJScott Harrington · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 8:45TBLErik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 17:18TBLAlex Killorn · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 1st 9:30 — TBL 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kukan · Goal · xG 0.22S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.11E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.10G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.08O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.08B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.07M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.07A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.05J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.05A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.04S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.02S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.00A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
3.47 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.03 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL73%27%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
36
Shots on goal
22
49%
Faceoffs
51%
3/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011+310.22220—22:40
27R. McDonaghD011030.06010—21:30
98M. SergachevD011-120.02020—20:26
81E. CernakD000-120.06112—19:29
17A. KillornL101040.35012—17:09
71A. CirelliC022000.000104316:49
91S. StamkosC011+150.450005816:24
21B. PointC123+120.570004516:22
44J. RuttaD011+210.02200—16:16
52C. FooteD011+100.03020—16:14
20R. NashC000020.121105015:33
18O. PalatL213+140.33002—15:18
41P. BellemareL101+120.200004615:18
14P. MaroonL112+120.291006713:43
16T. RaddyshR000010.16100—13:33
10C. PerryR112+120.26000—13:13
7M. JosephR000020.20300—12:50
13B. KatchoukL000010.02300—11:13
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)22202.9091.96-0.0460:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).