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Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV BSFL, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 1:11 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were FLA 30, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G, 1 A), 3. Spencer Knight (27 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Knight27 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11207311430
OTTOTT0701109027

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:01

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:11
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    1:32
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.11
    4-0
    13:08

Penalties

FLA 11 PIM·OTT 21 PIM

1st

  • 15:14FLAMatt Kiersted · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 1:37FLARobert Hagg · Hookingdrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
  • 5:43OTTChris Tierney · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 6:52OTTAustin Watson · Cross checkingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 16:23OTTArtem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

3rd

  • 8:00FLAAleksi Heponiemi · High stickingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 14:10FLANoel Acciari · Fightingdrawn by Parker Kelly5 min
  • 14:10OTTParker Kelly · Fightingdrawn by Noel Acciari5 min
  • 14:10OTTParker Kelly · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalFLA goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 3rd 1:11 — FLA 72% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.20J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.19A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.19J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.18D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.16M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.15A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.15J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.14A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.12A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.12T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.09A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.06A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.06A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.04A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01
OTT0 G · 2.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsOTT
3.44 G
All situations
0 G2.8
2.74 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsOTT
30
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
21
13
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000+120.08020—27:17
8B. ChiarotD000+110.03320—22:21
3M. KierstedD000+120.02212—19:43
13S. ReinhartC112+220.4300010017:39
9S. BennettC112+240.361104517:14
27E. LuostarinenC022+200.00120016:40
32L. CarlssonD000+110.15110—16:12
23C. VerhaegheC202+240.51010016:01
18R. HaggD000+200.00102—16:00
98M. MaminC022+220.39100015:44
94R. LombergL000020.20000—15:38
55N. AcciariC000020.251154314:24
79C. SchwindtR000010.120106714:14
40P. LindbohmD000+210.02120—13:56
70P. HornqvistR000020.36020—13:16
10A. DuclairL011+220.23110—13:12
20A. HeponiemiC000000.00002012:33
19J. ThorntonC000020.29000011:56
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)272701.0002.82+2.8260:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).