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Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
0
Florida Panthers
▸3
FinalTV BSFL, TSN5·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patric Hornqvist's goal at 3:09 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 78% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 18, FLA 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 45 of 48 (.938), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patric Hornqvist (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Lomberg (1 G), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (18 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    P. Hornqvist1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    R. Lomberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky18 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT070407018
FLAFLA125012211348

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Marchment(12)PPG
    P. Hornqvist (13), S. Bennett (10)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    10:04

3rd period

  1. FLA
    P. Hornqvist(8)PPG
    M. Marchment (18), B. Montour (16)
    tip-inxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:09
  2. FLA
    R. Lomberg(5)
    F. Vatrano (8), E. Luostarinen (8)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    3:21

Penalties

OTT 55 PIM·FLA 23 PIM

1st

  • 6:06OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 6:06FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:07OTTErik Brannstrom · High sticking double minordrawn by Anton Lundell4 min
  • 10:04OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 14:34OTTArtem Zub · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 17:13FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

2nd

  • 7:48OTTAlex Formenton · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 16:52OTTColin White · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

3rd

  • 1:14OTTThomas Chabot · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 5:35FLABrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 8:45FLACarter Verhaeghe · Holdingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 11:19OTTParker Kelly · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:30OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 11:30OTTBrady Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:30OTTAustin Watson · Misconductdrawn by Radko Gudas10 min
  • 11:30FLARadko Gudas · Misconductdrawn by Austin Watson10 min
  • 13:53FLARyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Joshua Brown5 min
  • 13:53OTTJoshua Brown · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 13:53OTTJoshua Brown · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Patric Hornqvist, 3rd 3:09 — FLA 78% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.27A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.25A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.22J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.19S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.10M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.08M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.08A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 5.2 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
2.10 G
All situations
3 G5.2
0.90 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
2 G2.5
0.90 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT11%89%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 5.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
18
Shots on goal
48
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
2/9
55
Penalty minutes
23
37
Hits
19
24
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5N. HoldenD000010.03230—22:19
22N. ZaitsevD000010.02020—21:52
28C. BrownR000040.760207520:49
72T. ChabotD000-130.21112—20:46
26E. BrannstromD000000.00004—18:33
2A. ZubD000000.02332—18:25
21N. PaulL000010.010105517:11
10A. FormentonL000020.3431210016:05
18T. StützleC000000.002103815:53
9J. NorrisC000-120.161103315:46
13Z. SanfordL000000.00210—14:56
7B. TkachukL000-110.0840146014:09
36C. WhiteC000-110.111025013:41
3J. BrownD000-100.00367—12:48
27D. GambrellC000000.254005010:26
63T. EnnisR000000.00100—09:58
16A. WatsonL000010.032210—09:10
45P. KellyC000010.068010007:21
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)48453.9385.21+2.2160:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).