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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
New York Rangers
3
FinalTV BSSO, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 13:48 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were CAR 36, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A), 2. Chris Kreider (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brady Skjei (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01431517436
NYRNYR011112211334

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(21)
    B. Skjei (28), N. Niederreiter (20)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    7:05
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(5)
    D. Stepan (9), M. Necas (25)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    13:48
  3. NYR
    C. Kreider(52)
    F. Vatrano (14)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    16:56
  4. CAR
    T. Teravainen(21)
    V. Trocheck (29), B. Skjei (29)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    18:19

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(37)
    S. Jarvis (22), J. Slavin (38)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    0:32
  2. NYR
    J. Trouba(11)
    K. Miller (13), M. Zibanejad (52)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    13:12
  3. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(18)
    C. Kreider (25), A. Fox (62)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +3 pts
    4-3
    18:58

Penalties

CAR 13 PIM·NYR 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:48NYRFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 15:42NYRRyan Reaves · Holdingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 18:18CARBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 0:38CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 3:27CARMartin Necas · Trippingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 14:01NYRBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Ian Cole5 min
  • 14:01CARIan Cole · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 19:55NYRAdam Fox · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 19:55CARNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 13:48 — CAR 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.42F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.38K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.21C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.21M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.20A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.14J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.14A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.13F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.12K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.10A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.00R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
3.04 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.54 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR44%56%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
36
Shots on goal
34
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/2
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
24
Hits
28
11
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
23
14
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011+200.01130—26:22
76B. SkjeiD022+140.13202—21:40
22B. PesceD000030.02110—21:31
77T. DeAngeloD000+100.00020—18:56
20S. AhoC101050.500005717:46
16V. TrocheckC112+130.171107317:04
71J. FastR000-100.0541010017:01
28I. ColeD000-100.00205—16:41
11J. StaalC000-210.160025316:32
21N. NiederreiterR011020.283126715:58
37A. SvechnikovR000-100.00300—15:29
86T. TeravainenC101+170.54010014:49
24S. JarvisR011060.66200—14:35
88M. NecasC011+120.0700210013:00
13M. DomiC000+100.02100012:58
7B. SmithD000-100.03100—11:40
48J. MartinookL101+120.15310—10:22
18D. StepanC011+110.270008809:36
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)34313.9123.55+0.5560:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).