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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV MSG+, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 15:39 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were NYR 18, CAR 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 44 of 44 (1.000), 4.9 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandar Georgiev (44 saves, 1.000), 2. Chris Kreider (1 G), 3. Jacob Trouba (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev44 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Trouba1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR031718218
CARCAR014015015044

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    1-0
    15:39

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.95win prob +3 pts
    2-0
    19:18

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:56NYRAdam Fox · High stickingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 16:22NYRBraden Schneider · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 4:45NYRPatrik Nemeth · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 6:38CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Hookingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 9:20CARserved by J. Kotkaniemi · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 15:39 — NYR 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.23M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.20J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.19M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.18S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.12D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.11S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.09E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01
CAR0 G · 4.9 xG · 71 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
3.11 G
All situations
0 G4.9
1.61 G
Even strength
0 G3.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR13%87%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 4.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
18
Shots on goal
44
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
39
Hits
16
23
Blocked shots
7
19
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000000.01132—24:05
8J. TroubaD011+210.02520—23:43
55R. LindgrenD000010.06410—20:39
79K. MillerD000+210.05230—20:11
93M. ZibanejadC011+200.400005620:00
10A. PanarinL000010.33100—19:32
16R. StromeC000050.383003318:18
21B. GoodrowC000010.101203117:58
20C. KreiderL101+220.4532010016:15
77F. VatranoR101+110.98220—15:30
13A. LafrenièreL011+100.00200—14:54
12P. NemethD000010.02102—14:00
45B. SchneiderD000000.00032—13:53
76J. BrodzinskiC000010.063106012:19
72F. ChytilC000010.13210012:06
14G. McKeggC000000.001202510:59
29D. HuntL000000.00410—10:20
75R. ReavesR000020.08400—09:18
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)444401.0004.89+4.8960:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).