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New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV MSG+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New Jersey Devils 5-4 in overtime, Drake Batherson scoring at 3:17. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 3:17 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.0 to 3.1; shots on goal were NJD 41, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.0 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nolan Foote (2 G), 3. Brady Tkachuk (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Foote2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD01321421400441
OTTOTT1112911113534

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    19:43

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:11
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:52
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.38win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    16:41
  4. NJD
    P. Zacha (19), T. Smith (15)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    19:54

3rd period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +18 pts
    2-4
    6:34
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    7:29
  3. NJD
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +31 pts
    4-4
    10:15

Overtime

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.24win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    3:17

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:40OTTArtem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Ty Smith2 min
  • 19:13NJDJanne Kuokkanen · Holdingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

2nd

  • 15:44NJDDamon Severson · High stickingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

3rd

  • 5:12OTTScott Sabourin · Cross checkingdrawn by Reilly Walsh2 min
  • 19:06NJDDawson Mercer · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, OT 3:17 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.38T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.27A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.24D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.24J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.22D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.15T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.15D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.15D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.15M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.15D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.15D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.13S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.11A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.10T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.09S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.08M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.03A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 4.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
3.14 G
All situations
5 G4.0
2.94 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD35%65%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 3.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
41
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
32
8
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
11
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33R. GravesD000+200.01310—25:06
28D. SeversonD011030.34312—24:31
7D. HamiltonD000+140.11200—22:12
24T. SmithD011-230.11220—21:25
18D. MercerC000+110.020023619:47
17Y. SharangovichC101-140.180005018:34
63J. BrattL011+120.14100—18:27
37P. ZachaC112+230.232005018:24
88K. BahlD000+220.05000—16:48
49F. ZetterlundL011+150.44100—16:36
70J. BoqvistC000-110.311005516:21
59J. KuokkanenC000030.54102016:13
11A. JohnssonL000-110.00010—15:00
8R. WalshD011020.00020—14:23
25N. FooteL202+250.37100—14:20
20M. McLeodC000000.002106212:13
55M. GeertsenL000020.21200—08:41
14N. BastianR000000.0030010008:36
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(O)34295.8534.03-0.9763:17

Season series

OTT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).