Skip to content
Devils at Senators
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
1
Ottawa Senators
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Devils scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Holden's goal at 7:54 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 33, OTT 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Nico Daws stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Matt Murray stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Murray (32 saves, .970), 2. Nick Paul (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Brown (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Murray32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    OTT
    N. Paul1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Brown1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD110013010133
OTTOTT1626112424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(9)PPG
    J. Bratt (28), D. Severson (16)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    11:48
  2. OTT
    N. Paul(9)
    C. Brown (15), A. Formenton (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:51

2nd period

  1. OTT
    N. Holden(3)
    Z. Sanford (6), M. Kastelic (1)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    7:54
  2. OTT
    A. Gaudette(4)
    T. Chabot (21), C. Tierney (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:03

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Brown(6)
    N. Paul (4), A. Zub (8)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    11:58

Penalties

NJD 0 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:39OTTNikita Zaitsev · Boardingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Holden, 2nd 7:54 — OTT 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.32A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.15N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.15A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.12T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.09N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.06N. Holden · Goal · xG 0.06T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.05D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
3.41 G
All situations
4 G2.1
3.30 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD73%27%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
33
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/1
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
44
15
Blocked shots
27
11
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71J. SiegenthalerD000-210.02220—23:14
24T. SmithD000-110.03230—21:24
28D. SeversonD011-110.02100—20:52
33R. GravesD000-110.14220—18:50
76P. SubbanD000-100.08120—18:41
17Y. SharangovichC000-220.34310018:25
63J. BrattL011-240.35000—17:36
2C. WhiteD000-210.02210—16:59
13N. HischierC101-220.180005416:47
70J. BoqvistC000020.232005015:45
37P. ZachaC000050.582107015:37
16J. VeseyL000030.44100—15:29
20M. McLeodC000-120.201107314:31
14N. BastianR000-240.40800—14:29
11A. JohnssonL000-110.06100—13:49
59J. KuokkanenC000-100.00020012:44
90T. TatarL000030.340003312:33
18D. MercerC000-100.000004312:15
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50N. Daws(L)24204.8332.08-1.9260:00

Season series

OTT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).