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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 7:48 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYR 23, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Semyon Varlamov stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 4.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (4 A), 2. Andrew Copp (3 G), 3. Adam Fox (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin4 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Copp3 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR392915623
NYINYI08110211329

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:43
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin (72), A. Fox (59)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    7:48
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    18:13

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    0:37
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(51)PPG
    A. Fox (60), M. Zibanejad (51)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    17:15
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin (74), A. Fox (61)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    19:07

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(36)PPG
    M. Barzal (39), N. Dobson (33)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    2:06
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.15
    6-2
    12:53
  3. NYI
    N. Dobson (34), Z. Chara (11)
    snapxG 0.12
    6-3
    13:22

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 16:54NYIKyle Palmieri · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 17:57NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 17:57NYRJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

3rd

  • 1:45NYRRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, 1st 7:48 — NYR 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.49M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.19K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.13J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.10K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.09K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.09O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.08R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.08K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06O. Koivula · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
1.86 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.65 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR32%68%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
23
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/1
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
7
12
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD000+210.07120—22:51
55R. LindgrenD000+130.10110—21:58
23A. FoxD033+210.03010—21:10
8J. TroubaD011020.05122—20:20
61J. BraunD000+100.00100—17:45
17K. RooneyC000010.034103316:34
45B. SchneiderD000000.00200—15:43
21B. GoodrowC011+110.054104515:36
75R. ReavesR101+110.1681010015:35
93M. ZibanejadC011-220.241105715:25
20C. KreiderL101-230.42000—15:03
29D. HuntL000010.07000—15:02
77F. VatranoR000-210.22100—15:00
10A. PanarinL044+400.00000—14:59
13A. LafrenièreL011+100.00100—14:17
16R. StromeC112+430.240022514:04
18A. CoppC303+330.16000013:16
72F. ChytilC000000.00200013:01
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)29263.8972.88-0.1260:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).