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New York Islanders at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG+, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Martin's goal at 4:48 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.0, NYR 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 18, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Semyon Varlamov (27 saves, 1.000), 3. Casey Cizikas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov27 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI151716318
NYRNYR0701208027

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:40

2nd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:48

3rd period

  1. NYI
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    2:47

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:21NYIGrant Hutton · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 12:51NYRAndrew Copp · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 17:12NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

2nd

  • 6:57NYRRyan Lindgren · High stickingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 13:56NYRRyan Reaves · High stickingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

3rd

  • 3:54NYIAnders Lee · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 6:11NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 6:11NYRBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 6:11NYRBarclay Goodrow · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Martin, 2nd 4:48 — NYI 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.35M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.10F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.06F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.04T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR0 G · 1.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
2.03 G
All situations
0 G1.9
1.33 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI53%47%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
18
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
12
3
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD011+100.02340—25:30
8N. DobsonD000+100.00110—22:32
3A. PelechD000+110.00120—22:24
33Z. CharaD000+100.00210—20:43
18A. BeauvillierR000020.27200—19:01
44J. PageauC000020.161205618:55
12J. BaileyR000040.42000—18:50
29B. NelsonC000000.140203318:35
11Z. PariseL000+120.06110—17:01
21K. PalmieriC000010.22100016:00
13M. BarzalC112+230.260002515:56
27A. LeeL000000.15004—15:45
53C. CizikasC101+110.100005713:33
17M. MartinL101+220.21210—11:51
7G. HuttonD000+100.02002—11:48
25S. AhoD000+100.00010—09:23
32R. JohnstonL011+200.00400—08:38
26O. WahlstromR011+100.0010210007:35
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)272701.0001.95+1.9560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).