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Sabres at Devils
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV MSG+, MSG-B·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Okposo's goal at 11:53 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 44% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were BUF 28, NJD 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Andrew Hammond stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Anderson (29 saves, .935), 2. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Okhotiuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    C. Anderson29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Okhotiuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF08310210528
NJDNJD010111110231

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(21)SHG
    R. Dahlin (40), C. Anderson (1)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    11:53
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(12)SHG
    V. Olofsson (25)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +20 pts
    2-0
    12:40
  3. BUF
    R. Dahlin(12)
    V. Olofsson (26)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    17:58
  4. NJD
    J. Boqvist(10)
    M. McLeod (14), D. Hamilton (20)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    19:52

3rd period

  1. NJD
    N. Okhotiuk(1)
    J. Kuokkanen (11), P. Zacha (18)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    4:59
  2. BUF
    O. Power(1)
    J. Skinner (28), T. Thompson (28)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    8:33
  3. BUF
    J. Skinner(32)
    T. Thompson (29), V. Olofsson (27)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    16:03

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:20BUFKyle Okposo · Hookingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min

2nd

  • 9:08BUFRasmus Dahlin · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 9:37NJDDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
  • 10:56BUFCasey Mittelstadt · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 13:01NJDDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 15:10BUFHenri Jokiharju · Slashingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBUF goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Okposo, 2nd 11:53 — BUF 44% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Boqvist · Goal · xG 0.21P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.21Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.19D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.15D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.11D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.10N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.10N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.06A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Okhotiuk · Goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04N. Okhotiuk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02N. Okhotiuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Okhotiuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 3.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNJD
2.85 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.42 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF45%55%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNJD
28
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
7
12
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD112+230.20022—24:12
23M. SamuelssonD000000.00210—23:43
25O. PowerD101+310.09010—22:21
10H. JokiharjuD000-100.00312—19:40
72T. ThompsonC022+440.360002918:09
24D. CozensC000-140.740005316:41
21K. OkposoR101020.10002—16:00
78J. BrysonD000000.00000—15:34
74R. AsplundC000010.11100015:25
53J. SkinnerL112+220.180103315:04
37C. MittelstadtC000010.082025013:44
89A. TuchR101+140.56020—13:36
45C. FitzgeraldD000+220.04410—13:30
71V. OlofssonL033+320.25000—13:24
19P. KrebsC000000.020004013:16
28Z. GirgensonsC000-100.001006713:16
29V. HinostrozaC000020.02010012:57
96A. BjorkL000-100.00000—11:28
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)31292.9353.03+1.0360:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).