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Panthers at Red Wings
NHL

Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV ESPN, TVAS·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 6:32 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 39, DET 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 33 of 39 (.846), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (2 A), 2. Anton Lundell (2 G), 3. Spencer Knight (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Lundell2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Knight33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA013416210639
DETDET01201319134

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    5:02
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:32
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    14:23
  4. FLA
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    14:51

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(18)SHG
    backhandxG 0.55win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    5:04
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.09
    5-1
    12:04
  3. FLA
    slapxG 0.03
    6-1
    13:14

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:33DETGustav Lindstrom · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 4:02FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 14:42DETRiley Barber · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 19:19FLAAleksander Barkov · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 4:25FLABrandon Montour · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalFLA goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 6:32 — FLA 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.32P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.30J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.25D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.19L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.13A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.13A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.11P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.11R. Barber · Missed · xG 0.10P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.08R. Barber · Missed · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.06A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.05L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.05R. Barber · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03R. Barber · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.01J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.00J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDET
4.56 G
All situations
1 G3.0
3.65 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA71%29%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.43 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDET
39
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
6
6
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD101+320.26000—21:35
8B. ChiarotD000+220.09730—20:54
7R. GudasD000+210.00610—20:05
52M. WeegarD000+100.00110—19:37
13S. ReinhartC112+120.131004017:37
62B. MontourD022+210.03102—17:32
11J. HuberdeauL000+110.57000—17:20
28C. GirouxR011+120.231005516:47
16A. BarkovC022+320.230025616:06
9S. BennettC000030.211004415:54
17M. MarchmentL011+130.20100—15:53
15A. LundellC202+250.920202515:41
40P. LindbohmD011020.12310—14:28
10A. DuclairL101+120.37100—14:23
23C. VerhaegheC000+120.49202014:12
27E. LuostarinenC011+110.040004613:35
70P. HornqvistR011+170.29000—11:43
98M. MaminC101+110.26200011:13
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)34331.9713.02+2.0259:25

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).