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Panthers at Red Wings
NHL

Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Detroit Red Wings
2
Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime, Aleksander Barkov scoring at 3:29. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 3:29 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — FLA 3.3, DET 3.4; shots on goal were FLA 33, DET 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (30 saves, .909), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .933), 3. Aleksander Barkov (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Nedeljkovic30 saves, .909
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA2100140712333
DETDET0111711101230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(2)
    M. Nutivaara (1), B. Montour (3)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:43
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(3)
    A. Duclair (1)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    18:49

2nd period

  1. DET
    S. Gagner(2)
    T. Stecher (1), M. Stephens (3)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:15

3rd period

  1. DET
    P. Suter(1)
    M. Seider (7), R. Fabbri (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    17:19

Overtime

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(4)
    J. Huberdeau (7), M. Weegar (5)
    backhandxG 0.49win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    3:29

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:44FLABrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 19:12FLARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

2nd

  • 16:23DETMitchell Stephens · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 19:55DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

3rd

  • 3:28FLAOwen Tippett · Hookingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 8:00FLASam Bennett · Cross checkingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 9:33DETFilip Hronek · Interferencedrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalFLA goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, OT 3:29 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.31T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.23L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.22F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.19T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.16D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.15C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.07L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.04C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.04C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 3.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDET
3.33 G
All situations
2 G3.4
3.13 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA50%50%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDET
33
Shots on goal
30
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
23
5
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000040.20110—29:19
52M. WeegarD011+210.03510—28:41
16A. BarkovC202030.841003325:13
42G. ForslingD000-120.21020—21:21
11J. HuberdeauL011000.00010—20:06
23C. VerhaegheC000-220.23100019:32
9S. BennettC000020.082024019:18
27E. LuostarinenC101+110.081105017:51
7R. GudasD000-140.32322—17:41
10A. DuclairL011+110.12000—16:04
13S. ReinhartC000040.571004315:34
62B. MontourD011+230.16002—14:43
17M. MarchmentL000+110.16100—13:47
74O. TippettR000020.1701210012:42
70P. HornqvistR000030.1910010009:13
77F. VatranoR000000.00000—07:47
65M. NutivaaraD011000.00100—07:01
19J. ThorntonC000000.000004006:34
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)30282.9333.40+1.4063:29

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).