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Red Wings at Panthers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was MacKenzie Weegar's goal at 16:05 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were DET 30, FLA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.8 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G), 2. Mason Marchment (1 G, 1 A), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Marchment1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Weegar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET11216012230
FLAFLA37110110527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    S. Gagner(13)
    P. Suter (20)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:08
  2. FLA
    N. Acciari(2)
    B. Montour (26), J. Thornton (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:19
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(38)PPG
    A. Duclair (25), J. Huberdeau (82)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    18:53
  4. FLA
    M. Marchment(17)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:39

2nd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(28)
    P. Suter (21), G. Lindstrom (12)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    6:15
  2. FLA
    M. Weegar(8)
    M. Marchment (27), P. Hornqvist (17)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    16:05

3rd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(29)PPG
    S. Bennett (20), J. Huberdeau (83)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    3:50

Penalties

DET 23 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:31FLANoel Acciari · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Lindstrom2 min
  • 17:33DETMichael Rasmussen · Roughingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

2nd

  • 8:22DETMichael Rasmussen · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 8:22DETMichael Rasmussen · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 8:22FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 8:22FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 17:57FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Nedeljkovic2 min

3rd

  • 0:25DETOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Lucas Carlsson5 min
  • 0:25DETOskar Sundqvist · Game misconduct10 min
  • 13:11DETMoritz Seider · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDET goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: MacKenzie Weegar, 2nd 16:05 — FLA 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.26J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.25M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.24M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.20S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.18N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.17S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.17A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.14M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.13C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.07N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsFLA
2.72 G
All situations
5 G3.2
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET41%59%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
27
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/2
Power play
2/4
23
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
20
21
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000+120.06120—23:01
53M. SeiderD000-130.02522—21:39
18M. StaalD000-110.00230—20:12
59T. BertuzziL101+170.6501010019:46
90J. VelenoC000-210.233003319:36
65D. DeKeyserD000+110.01110—19:10
8J. WalmanD000-100.02110—19:02
24P. SuterC022+200.111003318:59
89S. GagnerC101040.272003318:05
23L. RaymondL000020.58110—17:48
15J. VranaL000-130.24100—16:26
27M. RasmussenC000020.073463015:41
28G. LindstromD011-110.08030—15:11
73A. ErneL000020.21410—13:23
70O. SundqvistC000000.0011153310:23
22M. StephensC000-100.000103309:22
82J. OesterleD000-100.00000—08:02
46C. PearsonC000-110.171003305:54
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)27225.8153.22-1.7860:00

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).