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Coyotes at Flames
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Calgary Flames
▸9
FinalTV BSAZX, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 9-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 1:16 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were ARI 26, CGY 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Harri Sateri stopped 24 of 31 (.774), 4.3 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G, 2 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G, 2 A), 3. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11105010126
CGYCGY015614312941

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    N. Ritchie(11)
    J. Beagle (1), J. McBain (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:30

2nd period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:38
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(32)
    N. Zadorov (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:16
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(38)
    J. Gaudreau (68), A. Ruzicka (5)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:18
  4. CGY
    D. Dube(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    3:11
  5. CGY
    B. Coleman(15)
    M. Backlund (25), A. Mangiapane (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    15:36
  6. CGY
    E. Lindholm(39)
    N. Zadorov (15), M. Tkachuk (56)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    18:58

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(35)
    N. Hanifin (34), E. Lindholm (37)
    slapxG 0.08
    1-7
    2:43
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(39)
    E. Lindholm (38), J. Gaudreau (69)
    deflectedxG 0.11
    1-8
    5:13
  3. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(36)
    E. Lindholm (39), M. Tkachuk (57)
    wristxG 0.03
    1-9
    8:58

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:05ARIJack McBain · Hookingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 10:38CGYNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

3rd

  • 0:39ARIJack McBain · Hookingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 10:14CGYRasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalARI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 2nd 1:16 — CGY 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.46E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.19D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.18T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.17M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.16E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.11N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.08N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY9 G · 3.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCGY
2.71 G
All situations
9 G3.5
2.51 G
Even strength
9 G3.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI37%63%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 3.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
41
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
4
2
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
61D. MayoD000-320.03040—24:51
86A. StralmanD000-310.03100—21:16
92V. KolyachonokD000-110.09120—20:41
14S. GostisbehereD000-410.02210—20:01
54C. DineenD000-310.08000—19:04
8N. SchmaltzC000-230.420108018:46
83J. BeagleC011-210.090003117:40
63M. MaccelliL000-220.06000—16:22
16A. LaddL000-300.09020—15:38
29B. HaytonC000-320.372004115:12
12N. RitchieL101-320.30100—14:48
21L. ErikssonL000-210.031004014:21
72T. BoydC000-110.07110014:15
13N. SmithC000-130.533104514:14
22J. McBainC011-400.0030410013:28
81P. KesselR000-120.20000—13:24
53M. CarconeL000030.35000—11:43
62J. MoserD000-200.00020—10:16
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Sateri(L)31247.7742.74-4.2643:11
70K. Vejmelka1082.8000.80-1.2016:49

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).