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Coyotes at Flames
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV BSAZ, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 0:33 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 18, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.1 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0101414218
CGYCGY06315112433

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(30)
    J. Gaudreau (54), N. Hanifin (23)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    0:33
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(32)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (48), J. Gaudreau (55)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    3:35
  3. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(30)
    N. Zadorov (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    8:14
  4. ARI
    M. Carcone(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    19:48

3rd period

  1. CGY
    R. Andersson(4)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    5:21
  2. ARI
    V. Kolyachonok(1)
    N. Schmaltz (25), C. Dineen (5)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    18:07

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:15CGYNoah Hanifin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:59CGYTrevor Lewis · Illegal check to headdrawn by Cam Dineen2 min

2nd

  • 3:20ARINick Schmaltz · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 5:00CGYBrett Ritchie · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 10:36ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 14:48ARIKyle Capobianco · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

3rd

  • 4:02ARIPhil Kessel · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalARI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 2nd 0:33 — CGY 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.46E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.27R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.17R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.16B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.14J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCGY
1.52 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI25%75%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCGY
18
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
15
16
Blocked shots
7
5
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86A. StralmanD000+100.00110—22:40
9C. KellerR000020.19000—22:18
14S. GostisbehereD000-210.07012—21:54
61D. MayoD000-120.01130—19:41
8N. SchmaltzC011030.200125018:05
75K. CapobiancoD000030.07002—17:56
17A. GalchenyukC000-100.002103616:11
54C. DineenD011+120.08010—16:06
92V. KolyachonokD101+110.12010—15:59
67L. CrouseL000010.10100—15:56
63M. MaccelliL000+100.00110—15:23
29B. HaytonC000-100.001104315:06
81P. KesselR000000.00002—15:06
83J. BeagleC000+100.002206414:10
53M. CarconeL101+110.30210—13:34
72T. BoydC000+110.250007312:27
12N. RitchieL000-100.01320—12:18
21L. ErikssonL000-110.1200010010:53
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)33294.8792.89-1.1158:43

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).