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Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV BSAZ, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Utah Mammoth 7-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Chiasson's goal at 10:18 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were ARI 22, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 16 of 22 (.727), 3.4 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (5 A), 2. Vasily Podkolzin (2 G, 1 A), 3. Quinn Hughes (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller5 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    V. Podkolzin2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI081707122
VANVAN21041215727

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller (58), Q. Hughes (50)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:18
  2. VAN
    S. Dries(1)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    19:00

2nd period

  1. VAN
    Q. Hughes (51), J. Miller (59)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    4:29
  2. ARI
    A. Ladd(7)PPG
    P. Kessel (38), J. Moser (10)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    10:38
  3. VAN
    J. Miller (60), Q. Hughes (52)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    15:25
  4. VAN
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    15:39
  5. VAN
    snapxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    19:33

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller (62), T. Myers (16)
    snapxG 0.13
    1-7
    8:26

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:41ARITravis Boyd · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 17:09ARIJ.J. Moser · Trippingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min

2nd

  • 3:56ARIserved by B. Hayton · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:38VANQuinn Hughes · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 13:52ARIKyle Capobianco · Trippingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min

3rd

  • 6:14VANConor Garland · Interferencedrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalARI goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Chiasson, 1st 10:18 — VAN 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.22J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.20J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.20E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.19V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.18J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.16W. Lockwood · Missed · xG 0.15B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.13W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.13E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.13A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.13C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.12W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.12A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.08S. Dries · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.07V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.07S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.07V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06S. Dries · Goal · xG 0.06S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.06K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Dries · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN7 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsVAN
2.21 G
All situations
7 G3.5
1.80 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.31 G
Power play
3 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI29%71%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 3.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsVAN
22
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86A. StralmanD000000.01330—23:20
61D. MayoD000-220.06320—21:21
14S. GostisbehereD000-320.21030—19:50
8N. SchmaltzC000020.3000010019:05
62J. MoserD011-120.07112—18:45
92V. KolyachonokD000-100.00000—17:27
29B. HaytonC000000.092005017:25
63M. MaccelliL000010.16100—16:36
75K. CapobiancoD000-110.05002—15:23
12N. RitchieL000-200.15510—15:00
16A. LaddL101-110.070005014:59
13N. SmithC000-110.111004614:28
72T. BoydC000-220.28012014:25
83J. BeagleC000-120.033005014:25
21L. ErikssonL000-110.260006013:21
22J. McBainC000-210.07110013:16
81P. KesselR011-130.26000—12:44
53M. CarconeL000-110.01100—12:13
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)22166.7272.63-3.3740:00
30H. Sateri541.8000.87-0.1320:00

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).