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Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZX, SNP·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Utah Mammoth 5-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 0:52 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were VAN 32, ARI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Harri Sateri stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Chiasson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    A. Chiasson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN111310111532
ARIARI0911108128

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.24win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    3:12

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:52
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    1:30
  3. ARI
    T. Boyd (17)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    7:27
  4. VAN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    11:12

3rd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    4:24

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:11ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Holdingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 4:43VANAlex Chiasson · Roughingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 13:13VANBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

3rd

  • 3:07ARIJan Jenik · High stickingdrawn by Brad Hunt2 min
  • 15:46VANKyle Burroughs · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalVAN goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, 2nd 0:52 — VAN 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.22B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.19A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.18L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.17N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.16B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.13M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.12C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.08M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.07K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.07V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.04M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Jenik · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.02V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Jenik · On goal · xG 0.00V. Kolyachonok · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsARI
4.15 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.80 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN73%27%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.97 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsARI
32
Shots on goal
28
73%
Faceoffs
28%
2/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
3
12
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24T. DermottD000+100.00130—22:09
57T. MyersD000+210.03010—21:14
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011020.14010—20:36
9J. MillerC011000.001004019:12
77B. HuntD000010.03110—18:37
91J. LammikkoC000020.235207818:14
8C. GarlandR022+230.17000—17:57
44K. BurroughsD000+140.37622—17:55
53B. HorvatC213+250.5301210017:47
2L. SchennD000000.00530—17:35
40E. PetterssonC123+140.7500010016:56
92V. PodkolzinR022+200.00100—16:07
39A. ChiassonR213040.83122—15:51
58W. LockwoodR000010.07710—13:02
13B. RichardsonR000020.521002912:59
7N. PetanC000020.36000012:30
18J. DickinsonC000-110.00300010:51
70T. PearsonL000000.04000—04:28
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)28271.9642.55+1.5560:00

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).