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Devils at Avalanche
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV ALT, MSG·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New Jersey Devils 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan O'Connor's goal at 3:07 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were NJD 27, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Andrew Hammond stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Pavel Francouz stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Logan O'Connor (1 G), 3. Pavel Francouz (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    L. O'Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    P. Francouz26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01304110127
COLCOL01231404330

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    L. O'Connor(7)
    D. Helm (7), J. Manson (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:07
  2. COL
    A. Burakovsky(22)
    A. Lehkonen (19), V. Nichushkin (23)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    7:45
  3. COL
    A. Lehkonen(15)PPG
    M. Rantanen (53), C. Makar (56)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    14:35

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(24)
    P. Zacha (16), N. Hischier (38)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    11:39

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:04NJDKevin Bahl · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

2nd

  • 13:55NJDMichael McLeod · Hookingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 0:37COLCale Makar · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 8:11COLAndrew Cogliano · Trippingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNJD goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Logan O'Connor, 2nd 3:07 — COL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.43A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.15L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.14N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.11A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.09D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.00M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCOL
2.01 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD39%61%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
30
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000010.03120—23:12
7D. HamiltonD000-140.11310—21:52
13N. HischierC011030.150102719:27
24T. SmithD000010.04130—19:10
17Y. SharangovichC000-130.28000019:05
37P. ZachaC011+110.29100018:21
33R. GravesD000010.02130—18:03
63J. BrattL101020.41100—17:52
88K. BahlD000-110.02322—16:52
76P. SubbanD000000.00210—16:44
18D. MercerC000-110.010103816:38
49F. ZetterlundL000-120.02200—16:04
90T. TatarL000-100.04100—14:47
70J. BoqvistC000010.110102514:27
59J. KuokkanenC000010.18000013:39
14N. BastianR000030.28300—12:59
20M. McLeodC000000.001028910:02
42A. GreerL000020.0231010009:56
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Hammond(L)30273.9002.62-0.3858:10

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).