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Capitals at Predators
NHL

Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸4
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Jensen's goal at 3:27 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were WSH 28, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (2 G), 2. Ilya Samsonov (33 saves, .971), 3. Michael McCarron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. McCarron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11001038428
NSHNSH01508111134

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    J. Snively(3)
    C. Sheary (11), D. Orlov (16)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:17

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. McCarron(2)
    R. Josi (35), D. Fabbro (11)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    2:43
  2. WSH
    N. Jensen(4)
    G. Hathaway (8), C. Hagelin (9)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +26 pts
    2-1
    3:27
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(30)PPG
    J. Carlson (29), T. Wilson (19)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    4:33
  4. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(31)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.63
    4-1
    18:37

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

2nd

  • 6:25NSHMichael McCarron · High stickingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 12:03WSHJoe Snively · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 12:54NSHMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

3rd

  • 3:54NSHYakov Trenin · Kneeingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 11:27NSHMikael Granlund · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 16:07WSHNick Jensen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00NSHserved by A. Carrier · Game misconduct head coach0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWSH goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Jensen, 3rd 3:27 — WSH 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.15M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.14D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.13R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.11E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.05P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.04P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH1 G · 2.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNSH
3.23 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH51%49%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNSH
28
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
37
17
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011030.16010—25:09
9D. OrlovD011+310.05120—23:39
42M. FehérváryD000000.00330—21:48
3N. JensenD101+310.17102—21:33
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.04020—18:18
26N. DowdC000+130.205105718:06
92E. KuznetsovC000+100.010007017:08
8A. OvechkinL202+140.85210—16:55
62C. HagelinL011+100.00110—16:52
43T. WilsonR011010.02320—16:29
19N. BackstromC000+110.141003315:57
21G. HathawayR011+100.01000—14:56
91J. SnivelyC101+120.47002014:31
20L. EllerC000-120.202202513:58
73C. ShearyL011+120.09120—12:48
10D. SprongR000-110.18000—11:47
24C. McMichaelL000-160.56100—11:16
2J. SchultzD000000.00000—04:50
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)34331.9712.50+1.5060:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).